Uncertainties in Chemical Enrichment Models

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1 Uncertainties in Chemical Enrichment Models CLUES Cas A M82 Benoit Côté (Christian Ritter, Falk Herwig, Brian O Shea) JINA Frontiers Meeting March 2015

2 Galactic Outflow M82 Abell 1689 Stripping and Disruption NGC 4676 Galaxy with a SFH Simple Stellar Population Individual Stars NGC 7293 NGC 4449 Cas A Tycho SN Nuclear Physics WR 124 Denissenkov (2012)

3 Galactic Outflow M82 Abell 1689 Stripping and Disruption NGC 4676 Galaxy with a SFH Simple Stellar Population Individual Stars NGC 7293 NGC 4449 Cas A Tycho SN Nuclear Physics WR 124 Denissenkov (2012)

4 Galactic Outflow M82 Abell 1689 Benoit Côté Stripping and Disruption NGC 4676 Galaxy with a SFH Simple Stellar Population Individual Stars NGC 7293 NGC 4449 Cas A Tycho SN Nuclear Physics WR 124 Denissenkov (2012)

5 Quick Overview of my Ph.D. Hugo Martel 40 Mpc Ph.D. project : Develop a semi-analytic model (SAM) that is going to be used as a sub-grid treatment to generate the evolution of galaxies in a cosmological simulation. 40 Mpc Dark Matter SAM (galaxy) Gas Galaxy

6 Quick Overview of my Ph.D. Hugo Martel 40 Mpc Ph.D. project : Develop a semi-analytic model (SAM) that is going to be used as a sub-grid treatment to generate the evolution of galaxies in a cosmological simulation. 40 Mpc Dark Matter SAM (galaxy) Gas Galaxy Côté et al. (2015)

7 Quick Overview of my Ph.D. Hugo Martel 40 Mpc Ph.D. project : Develop a semi-analytic model (SAM) that is going to be used as a sub-grid treatment to generate the evolution of galaxies in a cosmological simulation. 40 Mpc Dark Matter Gas Galactic Outflow Galaxy Côté et al. (2015)

8 Quick Overview of my Ph.D. Hugo Martel 40 Mpc Ph.D. project : Develop a semi-analytic model (SAM) that is going to be used as a sub-grid treatment to generate the evolution of galaxies in a cosmological simulation. 40 Mpc Gas Dark Matter How certain are we about the amount of chemical elements injected in those simulations? Galactic Outflow Galaxy Côté et al. (2015)

9 Hierarchical Growth of Uncertainties Relative uncertainty scale Nuclear Reaction Rates Stellar Hydro More uncertain results Stellar Model Stellar Population Galaxy Model Cosmological Model Model

10 Goal of the Current Project Relative uncertainty scale Nuclear Reaction Rates Stellar Hydro More uncertain results Stellar Model Stellar Population Galaxy Model Cosmological Model Model Connect stellar models and nuclear physics to a galaxy model

11 Goal of the Current Project Relative uncertainty scale Nuclear Reaction Rates Stellar Hydro More uncertain results Stellar Model Stellar Population Galaxy Model Cosmological Model Model Connect stellar models and nuclear physics to a galaxy model How the predicted chemical evolution of galaxies is affected by assumptions in stellar models Explosion prescription Mixing processes Mass-loss

12 Goal of the Current Project Relative uncertainty scale Nuclear Reaction Rates Stellar Hydro More uncertain results Stellar Model Stellar Population Galaxy Model Cosmological Model Model Connect stellar models and nuclear physics to a galaxy model How the predicted chemical evolution of galaxies is affected by assumptions in stellar models Explosion prescription Mixing processes Mass-loss How the predicted chemical evolution of galaxies is affected by uncertainties in nuclear physics Nuclear reaction rates

13 Connecting Stellar Models to a Galaxy Model Cas A WR 124 NGC 7293 Tycho SN + IMF Stellar lifetimes = Stellar yields SSP yields SYGMA (Stellar Yields for Galactic Modelling Application) See Christian Ritter s talk at 11:30 C. Ritter C. Fryer F. Herwig J. F. Navarro E. Starkenburg M. Pignatari S. Jones K. Venn P. A. Denissenkov B. Côté the collaboration

14 Connecting Stellar Models to a Galaxy Model Cas A WR 124 NGC 7293 Tycho SN + IMF Stellar lifetimes = Stellar yields SSP yields SYGMA (Stellar Yields for Galactic Modelling Application) See Christian Ritter s talk at 11:30 Many SSPs SFR (SYGMA) NGC Inflows Outflows = Time Star formation history Simple 1-zone galaxy OMEGA (One-zone Model for the Evolution of GAlaxies)

15 Uncertainties in SYGMA and OMEGA Upcoming project O Shea & Côté SYGMA OMEGA

16 Uncertainties in SYGMA and OMEGA Upcoming project O Shea & Côté SYGMA OMEGA Milky Way

17 Uncertainties in SYGMA and OMEGA Upcoming project O Shea & Côté SYGMA OMEGA Milky Way 200 runs with random parameters

18 Uncertainties in SYGMA and OMEGA Upcoming project O Shea & Côté SYGMA OMEGA Milky Way Galaxy Closed Model 200 runs with random parameters

19 Uncertainties in SYGMA and OMEGA Upcoming project O Shea & Côté SYGMA OMEGA Inflow Outflow Milky Way Galaxy Open Model 200 runs with random parameters

20 Core-Collapse SNe Prescription Core-Collapse SNe Z = Initial stellar mass > Chieffi & Limongi (2004) Initial stellar mass > Nomoto et al. (2006) Initial stellar mass > E E E E E E E E E E E E-04

21 Core-Collapse SNe Prescription Core-Collapse SNe Z = Initial stellar mass > Chieffi & Limongi (2004) Initial stellar mass > Nomoto et al. (2006) Initial stellar mass > E E E E E E E E E E E E-04

22 Core-Collapse SNe Prescription Core-Collapse SNe Z = Initial stellar mass > Fryer et al. (2012) Chieffi & Limongi (2004) Initial stellar mass > Nomoto et al. (2006) Initial stellar mass > E E E E E E E E E E E E-04

23 Core-Collapse SNe Prescription

24 Core-Collapse SNe Prescription N06

25 Core-Collapse SNe Prescription N06

26 Core-Collapse SNe Prescription Solid Dashed No ejecta for [30,100] Last model used for [30,100] N06

27 Core-Collapse SNe Prescription Solid Dashed No ejecta for [30,100] Last model used for [30,100] N06

28 Core-Collapse SNe Prescription Solid Dashed No ejecta for [30,100] Last model used for [30,100] N06 N06 Last model used for [30,100]

29 Uncertainties in Nuclear Reaction Rates Low-mass TP-AGB models Herwig et al. (2005)

30 Uncertainties in Nuclear Reaction Rates Low-mass TP-AGB models Herwig et al. (2005)

31 Conclusion Relative uncertainty scale O Shea & Côté SYGMA OMEGA Next Steps Create new sets of yields with different physical assumptions (explosion prescription, internal mixing, mass-loss, ) Create new sets of yields with different nuclear reaction rates Ultimate Goal Provide better estimates of the uncertainties related to the predicted chemical enrichment at galactic and cosmological scales

32 Conclusion Chemical Evolution in Galaxies Un-conference this afternoon Relative uncertainty scale O Shea & Côté SYGMA OMEGA Next Steps Create new sets of yields with different physical assumptions (explosion prescription, internal mixing, mass-loss, ) Create new sets of yields with different nuclear reaction rates Ultimate Goal Provide better estimates of the uncertainties related to the predicted chemical enrichment at galactic and cosmological scales

33 Open and Closed Models Galaxy Closed Model Inflow Outflow Galaxy Open Model

34 Open and Closed Models Shift toward higher [Fe/H] Dilution (inflows) Smaller gas reservoir Small initial gas reservoir Outflows Shift toward lower [Fe/H] Stronger outflows

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