Dynamic Analysis of Coupling Relationship between Economic Development and Ecological Environment of Hubei Province

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Howard Nicholson
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1 Iteratoal Joural of Busess, Humates ad Techology Vol. 5, No. 2 Arl 2015 Dyamc Aalyss of Coulg Relatosh betwee Ecoomc Develomet ad Ecologcal Evromet of Hube Provce Luo Jua Lecturer College of Mathematcs & Comuter Scece Wuha Tetle Uversty Jaga Dstrct Wuha, Hube rovce Cha PhD caddate Ivaovo State Uversty Chemstry ad Techology Ivaovo, Russa Agela N. Ilcheko Doctor of Ecoomcs Hooured Scetst of Russa Federato Professor School of Maagemet Face ad Iformato Systems Ivaovo State Uversty Chemstry ad Techology Ivaovo, Russa Doctor, Professor School of Mathematcs ad Comuter Scece Wuha Tetle Uversty Jaga Dstrct Wuha, Hube rovce, Cha Abstract Sce the reform ad oeg, the ecoomc develomet of Hube rovce ad cty costructo has made remarkable achevemets, at the same tme, the cotradcto betwee the ecologcal evromet ad ecoomc develomet s creasgly romet. I ths aer, from two asects of ecoomc growth ad ecologcal evromet, we select the arorate dcators from 2000 to 2010, usg the mroved etroy method ad we calculate the coulg coordato degree betwee ecoomc develomet ad ecologcal evromet. From the results, we ca see the evaluato dces of ecoomc develomet,ecologcal evromet ad coulg coordato degree are creasg, dcatg the overall harmoous develomet of ecoomy ad evromet s ehaced, but t s stll the medum mbalace at reset. We eed to reduce the ressure o the evromet, develog crcular ecoomy, romote the sustaable develomet of the socety the future. Keywords: ecoomc develomet, the ecologcal evromet, the etroy method,coulg coordato degree 44

2 g ISSN (Prt), (Ole) Ceter for Promotg Ideas, USA 1. Itroducto I today's rad ecoomc growth, the roblem of evrometal degradato ad resource deleto attracts more ad more atteto to the huma. The coordated develomet s very mortat to esure realze sustaable develomet of huma socety. May eerts ad scholars research o ths roblem by EKC (Evrometal Kuzets Curve) model, rcal comoet aalyss, regresso aalyss, aalytc herarchy rocess, fuzzy mathematcs, SD(system dyamc) model etc. For the roblem of sustaable develomet de system, assgmet of de weght s oe of the mortat cotet. The methods to detfy the de weght are subectve value assgmet ad obectve value assgmet. The former s the method to determe weght accordg to the degree of atteto by evaluators the latter s to determe the de weght accordg to the cotact stregth ad amout of formato rovded by obectve orgal data, such as the etroy value method, factor aalyss ad multle correlato coeffcet method, etc. Sce Cha's reform ad oeg u, ecoomc develomet of Hube rovce has made remarkable achevemets, at the same tme, the cotradcto betwee ecologcal evromet ad ecoomc develomet becomes creasgly romet. Idustral olluto s the ma source of evrometal olluto Hube rovce. I ths aer, from two asects of ecoomc growth ad ecologcal evromet, from two asects of ecoomc growth ad ecologcal evromet, we select the arorate dcators from 2000 to 2010, usg the mroved etroy method ad we calculate the coulg coordato degree betwee ecoomc develomet ad ecologcal evromet. 2. Etroy Method 2.1 Basc Prcles of Etroy Value Method We get formato matr ( ) through the orgal data, s the umber of de, m s the umber of year. For m a de, f the ga of s greater, the de the comrehesve evaluato s more mortat the less the vce. If values of a de are equal, the ths de s effectve the comrehesve evaluato. I formato theory, there s a fucto relatosh: H ( ) ( )l ( ). The left H () s formato etroy, whch 1 s the dsorder of the metrc system the rght s formato, whch s the orderly degree of measuremet system. For a de, the degree of dscrete s greater, H () s less, the the amout of formato rovded by the dcator s greater ad the weght s also greater O the other had, the degree of dscrete s smaller, H () s greater, the amout of formato rovded by the dcator s smaller ad the weght s also smaller. So we ca use formato etroy to determe the de weght accordg to the dscrete degree amog dcators, whch wll serve as a scetfc bass for the ablty of regoal sustaable develomet evaluato. 2.2 Basc Stes of Etroy Method () Ide quatfcato: we calculate roorto m 1 (1) () We calculate etroy value e of the th de: e m k l (2) 1 of the th de o the th year. k 0, Normally we have k 1 l m, the e (1 l m) l, 0 e 1 () We calculate coeffcet of varato ad ths de s more mortat. g 1 (3) e g m 1 of the th de. If etroy value s smaller, the dfferece s greater, 45

3 Iteratoal Joural of Busess, Humates ad Techology Vol. 5, No. 2 Arl 2015 (v) The weght of the th de a 46 g / (4) g 1 a : (v) Comrehesve evaluato value of the th year f 1 a (5) 2.3 Imroved Etroy Method Because of usg the logarthmc ad etroy cocet the etroy value method, due to the egatve ca't drectly volve the calculato, we eed to chage ths kd of de data certaly. Accordg to the research, the etroy value method s more reasoable by stadardzed methods of data rocessg. We use the followg formula to stadardze the de data: ( ) s (6) There s the stadardzato of arameter values, the th dcator. s meat for the th dcator, Usg the followg tye to elmate the egatve effects by coordate traslato: z A (7) z s the values after traslato,a s traslatoal amltude,the we use z as to do data aalyss through()-(v). s s stadard devato for 2.4 Itroducto of the Coulg Degree Model Let C ad T be resectvely coordatve degree ad comrehesve evaluato de of ecoomc ad ecologcal evromet. They ca reflect the sychrozato the ecoomc develomet ad ecologcal evromet evoluto, ad overall effcecy of ecoomc develomet ad the regoal ecologcal evromet, the we have 1 ] 2 2 XY C 2[ ad T X Y, ( X Y ) There X ad Y are resectvely comrehesve develomet de of ecoomc develomet ad ecologcal evromet. ad are edg weght. Normally we let 0. 5.The we form the coulg degree model of ecoomc develomet ad ecologcal evromet evoluto: D CT The we ca dvde the coulg develomet of the regoal ecoomy develomet ad the ecologcal ecoomc to 10 grades: Etreme mbalace ( 0 D 0.1) Serous mbalace ( 0.1 D 0.2) Moderate mbalace ( 0.2 D 0.3) Mld mbalace ( 0.3 D 0.4) Edagered mbalace ( 0.4 D 0.5) Reluctat coordato ( 0.5 D 0.6) Prmary coordato ( 0.6 D 0.7) Itermedate coordato ( 0.7 D 0.8) Good coordato ( 0.8 D 0.9) Qualty coordato ( 0.9 D 1.0). 3. Choce of Evaluato Ide We select the followg ecoomc develomet ad ecologcal evromet dcators from 2000 to 2010 of Hube Provce, whch are from the "Statstcal Yearbook of Hube rovce". For ecoomc develomet dcators: the overall GDP, er cata GDP, total fed asset vestmet, the roorto of the secod dustry ad the thrd dustry roorto.

4 ISSN (Prt), (Ole) Ceter for Promotg Ideas, USA For the ecologcal evromet: the total amout of olluto of waste water dscharge, dustral waste gas emsso, dustral sold waste emssos, dustral waste water dscharge stadards, the comrehesve utlzato rate of dustral sold waste,comrehesve utlzato of three waste. 4 Emrcal Aalyses We aalyze the evaluato de of the ecoomc develomet ad ecologcal evromet of Hube rovce accordg to the mroved etroy method, ad we get the coulg degree model of ecoomc develomet ad ecologcal evromet (Table 1). Table 1: Coordated Develomet Characterstcs of Ecoomc ad Evrometal Hube Provce ( ) Year Ecoomc de Ecologcal evromet de C T D The tye of coordated develomet Serous mbalace Serous mbalace Serous mbalace Serous mbalace Serous mbalace Serous mbalace Mld mbalace Mld mbalace Mld mbalace Mld mbalace Mld mbalace It ca be see from table 1, sce 2000, ecoomc develomet ad ecologcal evromet of Hube rovce has got fast develomet. The rsg advace of coulg coordato degree D from 2000 to2005 s relatvely slow. After 2005, both the ecoomy ad evromet have grow steadly. The coulg coordato degree of ecoomc ad ecologcal evromet has creased from to 0.196, but the ecoomc develomet lags behd durg ths erod, the level of ecoomc evaluato value oly creased from to 0.033, esecally ecoomc growth has sled 2003 ad 2004, whch because of the fluece of atoal SARS dsease.durg ths erod, the coulg degree of the ecoomy ad the evromet s betwee 0.1 ad 0.2, whch belogs to the serous mbalace state, Ths suggests that the coulg relatosh of ecoomy ad evromet s relatvely weak, the govermet oly attach great mortace to ecoomc develomet ad gore the evromet roblem. The mode of roducto s maly s hgh ut, low outut. From 2006 to 2010, the coulg coordato degree creased from to 0.252, ths s betwee 0.2 ad 0.3, belogg to moderate dsorder. Ths dcates that the roblems of ecoomc ad evromet have bee allevated, but t s stll serous. Accordg to dyamc aalyss of the coulg coordato degree of ecoomc develomet ad ecologcal evromet early 10 years, t s a overall uward tred, but the dffereces of coordated develomet betwee each subsystem are very obvous, ad the curret develomet atter also ests weak lks. To acheve coordated develomet of ecoomy ad evromet of Hube rovce, we must adhere to do the followg work: (1) The govermet should seed u the ecologcal evromet costructo, stregthe the evrometal rotecto. I cotemt of ecologcal evromet the costructo of the curret ecoomc stuato s commo, t should strctly cotrol each ut ollutat emssos accordace wth the relevat laws ad regulatos, ad the govermet should gve ushmet for ecessve amouts of uts, ad deal wth the ollutats deeds o the ablty of the ut. (2) The govermet should seed u the adustmet of dustral structure, develog ecologcal ecoomcs, wdely use ew equmet, ew techology, ew techology ad ew materals the roducto rocess, ad develo good or harmless dustry, the fally form ecoomy growth mode of ut, low cosumto, low emssos ad hgh effcecy. 47

5 Iteratoal Joural of Busess, Humates ad Techology Vol. 5, No. 2 Arl 2015 Refereces Qao Ja-u. Alcato of Imrove Etroy Method Hea Sustaable Develomet Evaluato. Resources scece (26) Ha shagfu, Ca bagcheg, Lu gefa. Alcato of Imroved Etoy Method Evaluato Evrometal Pressure Chage of Idustry of Jagsu Provce. Ecologcal Evromet Wu yumg, Zhag ya. Aalyzg Couled Regoal Ecoomc Growth ad Evromet Coservato Cha.Resources scece. 2008,1.(30) Zhu l. Evolutoal aalyss of socal,evrometal ad Ecoomc develomet of Guagzhou by usg etroy theory. Ecology ad Evromet. 2008,17(1): Yue L, Gao ca,zhag qzh.evaluato of regoal crcular ecoomy develomet based o etroy method. Soft scece.2011(25). Cheg lmg, Wu ag, Zhag yul.oeratoal research model ad method of the tutoral Tsghua uversty ress. Zhu L.Comrehesve evaluato o the evromet, ecoomc ad socal sustaable develomet of Guagzhou Beg: Research Isttute of the Chese Academy of Sceces PHD. Wu hegwe, Nu shuwe. Evolutoal aalyss of coulg betwee oulato ad resource-evromet Cha. Natural Resources (6):

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