Network Manager ATFCM Procedural Contingency Plan

Transcription

1 Network Manager ATFCM Procedural Contingency Plan Edition: Valid: Sunday 25 th March Saturday 27 th October 2018 (inclusive)

2 2018 The European Organisation for the Safety of Air Navigatio (EUROCONTROL). This document is published by EUROCONTROL for informatio purposes. It may be copied in whole or in part, provided that EUROCONTROL mentioned as the source and the extent justified by the non-commercial use (not fo sale). The information in this document may not be modified without prior writte permission from EUROCONTROL. The official electronic version of this manual shall take precedence over any printed versions, except in the case of contingency, where the electronic version is not available, or may be considered unreliable. TLP status: white Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

3 Table of Contents 1 INTRODUCTION Background Scope ATFCM PROCEDURAL CONTINGENCY ARRANGEMENTS ATFCM Procedural Contingency Plan METHODOLOGY Simulation Process Main Assumptions Traffic Selection Percentile Airport Flows Domestic Flights Environment Data - Configurations Capacity Reduction Executive Summary NM CONTINGENCY PLAN NM Contingency Plan: Weekdays DAAAFMP DTTCFMP EBBUFMP EDGGFMP EDMMFMP EDWWFMP EETTFMP EFESFMP EGTTFMP EHAAFMP EIDWFMP EISNFMP EKDKFMP ENBDFMP ENOSFMP ENSVFMP Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

4 EPWWFMP ESMMFMP ESOSFMP EVRRFMP EYVCFMP GCCCFMP GMMMFMP HECCFMP LAAAFMP LBSRFMP LCCCFMP LDZOFMP LECBFMP LECMFMP LECPFMP LECSFMP LFBBFMP LFEEFMP LFFFFMP LFMMFMP LFRRFMP LGGGFMP LGMDFMP LHCCFMP LIMMFMP LIPPFMP LIRRFMP LJLAFMP LKAAFMP LLLLFMP LMMMFMP LOVVMP LPPCFMP LRBBFMP LSAGFMP LSAZFMP LTAAFMP LTBBFMP LYBAFMP LZBBFMP OLBBFMP UKBVFMP NM Contingency Plan: Saturdays DAAAFMP DTTCFMP Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

5 4.2.3 EBBUFMP EDGGFMP EDMMFMP EDWWFMP EETTFMP EFESFMP EGTTFMP EHAAFMP EIDWFMP EISNFMP EKDKFMP ENBDFMP ENOSFMP ENSVFMP EPWWFMP ESMMFMP ESOSFMP EVRRFMP EYVCFMP GCCCFMP GMMMFMP HECCFMP LAAAFMP LBSRFMP LCCCFMP LDZOFMP LECBFMP LECMFMP LECPFMP LECSFMP LFBBFMP LFEEFMP LFFFFMP LFMMFMP LFRRFMP LGGGFMP LGMDFMP LHCCFMP LIMMFMP LIPPFMP LIRRFMP LJLAFMP LKAAFMP LLLLFMP LMMMFMP LOVVMP Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

6 LPPCFMP LRBBFMP LSAGFMP LSAZFMP LTAAFMP LTBBFMP LYBAFMP LZBBFMP OLBBFMP UKBVFMP NM Contingency Plan: Sundays DAAAFMP DTTCFMP EBBUFMP EDGGFMP EDMMFMP EDWWFMP EETTFMP EFESFMP EGTTFMP EHAAFMP EIDWFMP EISNFMP EKDKFMP ENBDFMP ENOSFMP ENSVFMP EPWWFMP ESMMFMP ESOSFMP EVRRFMP EYVCFMP GCCCFMP GMMMFMP HECCFMP LAAAFMP LBSRFMP LCCCFMP LDZOFMP LECBFMP LECMFMP LECPFMP LECSFMP LFBBFMP LFEEFMP Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

7 LFFFFMP LFMMFMP LFRRFMP LGGGFMP LGMDFMP LHCCFMP LIMMFMP LIPPFMP LIRRFMP LJLAFMP LKAAFMP LLLLFMP LMMMFMP LOVVMP LPPCFMP LRBBFMP LSAGFMP LSAZFMP LTAAFMP LTBBFMP LYBAFMP LZBBFMP OLBBFMP UKBVFMP Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

8 Table of Figures Figure1. Simulation steps Figure2. Flow Periods & Departure Rates sample Figure3. Initial Traffic Load Figure4. Regulated Traffic Load Figure5. Percentil 70 Histogram Fridays Figure7. Percentil 70 Histogram Saturdays Figure8. Percentil 70 Histogram Sundays Figure9. Main EBBR flows Figure10. Detailed EBBR flows Figure11. Sample Demand Data LF Figure12. Opening Scheme EDYYBUTA Figure13. Traffic Volumes Capacity Reduction Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

9 1 INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background In the event of the ETFMS failure, a number of appropriate procedures have been put in place. Where it is not possible to re-establish ATFCM operations a procedural contingency plan will be activated. This is a phased operation, whereby FMPs will apply predetermined departure intervals to the main departure flows from major airports. The applied rates are based on a capacity reduction of 10% throughout the European ATM network. In this case AOs concerned may expect high delays. Flights departing from non-nominated airfields are not covered by the procedural contingency plan and ANSP FMPs are required to assess the volume of such traffic that may be permitted to operate. Guidelines for the application of ATFCM measures in the event of ACC contingencies (partial and total reductions in service) are communicated by ANSP FMPs to the NMOC in accordance with the ATFCM Operations Manual (part of the Network Operations Handbook). 1.2 Scope The purpose of this document is to provide operational guidelines to maintain traffic activity in case of ETFMS failure during the aeronautical summer These guidelines support the degraded situation until recovery of normal operations. Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

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11 2 ATFCM PROCEDURAL CONTINGENCY ARRANGEMENTS 2.1 ATFCM Procedural Contingency Plan The ATFCM Procedural Contingency Plan consists of four phases. 1. Alert phase 2. Activation phase 3. Operational contingency phase 4. Recovery phase In case of activation of the, in each phase the NMOC will publish AIM alert flash messages via the ATFN. Provided Internet connection is still available to NM, these messages will in addition be published via NOP Portal Headline News. 1. Alert Phase Having been notified of a ETFMS system failure, the OM shall send a stored pre-formatted Alert Flash message to FMPs, ATS units and AOs advising them of the situation and to be prepared for the activation of the ATFCM Procedural Contingency Plan. This message will include a Provisional Contingency plan Start Time (PCST). The message will also indicate that each FMP is the focal point for obtaining more detailed information on the implementation of the plan. In the event of failure of the NM communication systems in Brussels or in the event of an evacuation of the NM operations room an identical Alert Flash message shall be sent by a nominated remote unit, e.g. FP2 Brétigny. The remote unit shall be notified by the OM by (portable) telephone. The validity of the notification shall be confirmed by an authentication telephone call. On receipt of the Alert Flash message FMPs and nominated ATC towers (as stipulated in individual NM Agreements) shall act in accordance with local procedures to ensure activation of the local plan. Note: FMPs may manage the contingency operation on behalf of ATC towers within their area of responsibility. Slot revisions requests obviously shall not be possible. During the alert phase the slot tolerance window shall therefore be extended to -5 to +20 minutes to ensure that as many flights as possible with slots depart. Flights unable to depart within the extended window should expect to be processed under the conditions of the operational contingency or recovery phases. Flights departing from non-nominated airfields are not affected by the contingency plan. Alert flash message: A L E R T F L A S H ETFMS UNAVAILABILITY. -DUE TO..., SLOT ALLOCATION BY THE ETFMS SYSTEM IS NOT AVAILABLE. ALL FMPS, ATS UNITS AND OPERATORS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR THE ACTIVATION OF THE ATFCM PROCEDURAL CONTINGENCY PLAN IN THE EVENT THAT THE ETFMS CANNOT BE ACTIVATED.. -PROVISIONAL CONTINGENCY PLAN START TIME (PCST) :...UTC (ESTIMATED TIME OF ENTERING THE OPERATIONAL CONTINGENCY PHASE. THIS TIME IS TO BE CONFIRMED LATER). -CTOTS RECEIVED ARE STILL TO BE ADHERED TO AND TOWERS ARE STILL TO HONOUR CTOTS UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTIFIED BY THE NM. Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

12 . -FOR THE MOMENT IT MAY NOT BE POSSIBLE FOR ETFMS TO REACT ON ANY ATFM MSGS (SRR/SMM ETC). THEREFORE THE SLOT TOLERANCE WINDOW IS EXTENDED TO -5 TO +20 MINUTES. FLIGHTS UNABLE TO DEPART WITHIN THE EXTENDED WINDOW SHOULD EXPECT TO BE PROCESSED UNDER THE CONDITIONS OF THE OPERATIONAL CONTINGENCY OR RECOVERY PHASES.. -FLIGHTS DEPARTING FROM NON-NOMINATED AIRFIELDS ARE NOT AFFECTED BY THE ATFCM PROCEDURAL CONTINGENCY PLAN.. -FLIGHT PLAN AND FLIGHT PLAN UPDATE MSGS (INCLUDING CNL) ARE TO BE SENT TO THE IFPUS THROUGHOUT THE WHOLE PERIOD OF OPERATION OF THE ETFMS CONTINGENCY PLAN.. -FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CALL THE LOCAL FMP.. NM BRUSSELS 2. Activation Phase If it is confirmed that the ETFMS system failure is likely to continue the OM shall send a stored pre-formatted Activation Flash message to FMPs and nominated ATC towers (as stipulated in individual LoAs) ordering activation of the ATFCM Procedural Contingency Plan. Other ATS units and AOs shall also receive a copy of this message for information. In accordance with local procedures FMPs and/or nominated ATC towers shall apply the ATFCM Procedural Contingency Plan. The Contingency plan Start Time (CST) shall be clearly specified in the Activation flash message. The CST shall normally be set at two hours following the failure of the ETFMS system. During the activation phase, towers shall continue to honour those Calculated Take Off Times (CTOTs) which fall within the period up to CST. The provisions of the alert phase with respect to the extended slot tolerance window will continue to apply. Where the application of the slot tolerance window takes flights into the operational contingency phase the flights shall still be allowed to depart as long as they remain within the extended slot tolerance window. Activation flash message: PROCEDURAL CONTINGENCY - A C T I V A T I O N F L A S H ATTN : ALL FMPS AND NOMINATED TOWERS INFO : OTHER ATS UNITS AND ALL OPERATORS. ETFMS UNAVAILABILITY. DUE TO..., SLOT ALLOCATION BY THE ETFMS SYSTEM IS NOT AVAILABLE. ALL ATTEMPTS TO REACTIVATE ETFMS PROVED UNSUCCESSFUL. IN ACCORDANCE WITH LOCAL PROCEDURES FMPS AND NOMINATED ATC TOWERS WILL HAVE TO APPLY THE ATFCM PROCEDURAL CONTINGENCY PLAN.. CONTINGENCY PLAN START TIME (CST) :...UTC (TIME OF ENTERING THE OPERATIONAL CONTINGENCY PHASE). -TOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO HONOUR CTOT WHICH FALL WITHIN THE PERIOD UP TO CST. AFTER THIS TIME OPERATION WILL BE BASED ON DEPARTURE INTERVALS ARRANGED BY NOMINATED TOWERS/FMPS. CTOT WHICH FALL IN THE PERIOD AFTER THE CST ARE IGNORED.. -THE EXTENDED SLOT TOLERANCE WINDOW (-5 TO +20 MIN) MENTIONED IN THE ALERT FLASH WILL CONTINUE TO APPLY. WHERE THE APPLICATION OF THE SLOT TOLERANCE WINDOW TAKES FLIGHTS INTO THE OPERATIONAL CONTINGENCY PHASE THE FLIGHTS WILL STILL BE ALLOWED TO DEPART AS LONG AS THEY REMAIN WITHIN THE EXTENDED SLOT TOLERANCE WINDOW. Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

13 . -FLIGHTS DEPARTING FROM NON-NOMINATED AIRFIELDS ARE NOT AFFECTED BY THE CONTINGENCY PLAN. * -FLIGHT PLAN AND FLIGHT PLAN UPDATE MSGS (INCLUDING CNL) ARE TO BE SENT TO THE IFPUS THROUGHOUT THE WHOLE PERIOD OF OPERATION OF THE ATFCM CONTINGENCY PLAN.. -FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CALL YOUR LOCAL FMP.. NM BRUSSELS 3. Operational Contingency Phase Nominated ATC towers and/or FMPs shall now commence operation of their corresponding departure interval. Any CTOTs that have been issued that fall within this period shall be ignored and the flights concerned shall be processed in accordance with the departure interval arrangements. Nominated ATC towers and/or FMPs shall depart flights in accordance with the departure interval relative to the ATFCM Procedural Contingency Plan. In order to ensure an orderly transition during the recovery phase start up times to make good departure intervals should be allocated no more than one hour in advance. If during this phase it becomes apparent that the outage is expected to be longer than a period of 6 hours, NM personnel shall, if circumstances permit, attempt to fine tune the plan by modifying the departure interval, taking into account important changes to seasonal or other variations known at the time. These modifications shall be communicated to the FMPs and nominated ATC towers. In order to reduce delays and utilise all available capacity during the operational contingency phase FMPs may, on a tactical basis, co-ordinate agreements with ATS units, within their area of responsibility, and with adjacent FMPs to provide tactical increases to flights remaining within their area of responsibility. Procedural contingency flash message: PROCEDURAL CONTINGENCY - A C T I V A T I O N F L A S H ATTN : ALL FMPS AND NOMINATED TOWERS INFO : OTHER ATS UNITS AND ALL OPERATORS. ETFMS UNAVAILABILITY. DUE TO..., SLOT ALLOCATION BY THE ETFMS SYSTEM IS NOT AVAILABLE. ALL ATTEMPTS TO REACTIVATE ETFMS PROVED UNSUCCESSFUL. IN ACCORDANCE WITH LOCAL PROCEDURES FMPS AND NOMINATED ATC TOWERS WILL HAVE TO APPLY THE ATFCM PROCEDURAL CONTINGENCY PLAN.. CONTINGENCY PLAN START TIME (CST) :...UTC (TIME OF ENTERING THE OPERATIONAL CONTINGENCY PHASE). -TOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO HONOUR CTOT WHICH FALL WITHIN THE PERIOD UP TO CST. AFTER THIS TIME OPERATION WILL BE BASED ON DEPARTURE INTERVALS ARRANGED BY NOMINATED TOWERS/FMPS. CTOT WHICH FALL IN THE PERIOD AFTER THE CST ARE IGNORED.. -THE EXTENDED SLOT TOLERANCE WINDOW (-5 TO +20 MIN) MENTIONED IN THE ALERT FLASH WILL CONTINUE TO APPLY. WHERE THE APPLICATION OF THE SLOT TOLERANCE WINDOW TAKES FLIGHTS INTO THE OPERATIONAL CONTINGENCY PHASE THE FLIGHTS WILL STILL BE ALLOWED TO DEPART AS LONG AS THEY REMAIN WITHIN THE EXTENDED SLOT TOLERANCE WINDOW.. Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

14 -FLIGHTS DEPARTING FROM NON-NOMINATED AIRFIELDS ARE NOT AFFECTED BY THE CONTINGENCY PLAN. * -FLIGHT PLAN AND FLIGHT PLAN UPDATE MSGS (INCLUDING CNL) ARE TO BE SENT TO THE IFPUS THROUGHOUT THE WHOLE PERIOD OF OPERATION OF THE ATFCM CONTINGENCY PLAN.. -FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CALL YOUR LOCAL FMP.. NM BRUSSELS 4. Recovery Phase Once the ETFMS system has been declared operational the OM shall send a stored preformatted Recovery Flash message to FMPs and nominated ATC towers advising of the return to service of the ETFMS system and the move to the recovery phase. Other ATS units and AOs shall also receive a copy of this message for information and, where required, for action. The Recovery Flash message shall include the ETFMS Recovery Time (ERT) and details of transition from the departure interval system to the standard CTOT departure slot system. The transition from departure interval to CTOT shall normally be at ERT. However a slot tolerance for the Maximum Departure Rates would result in flights with Maximum Departure Rates having departed by ERT + 10 minutes. If required this message shall be followed by an ANM Flash message detailing the regulations still in force. In order to ensure an efficient transition from manual to automatic operations the recovery phase is split into 2 periods. The periods and associated actions are as follows: ERT until Time ERT + 1 Hour Beyond ERT + 1 Hour. Actions at Nominated Airfields By ERT + 10 minutes all flights subject to Departure Rates should have departed. Departure will be in accordance with CTOT. FMPs will co-ordinate, if required, with NM for flights subject to regulation that have neither Departure Rates nor CTOT to agree position in the flow. (NM staff will use the 20% of rate not allocated automatically to provide a CTOT) Depart ETFMS Subject to Rates CTOT 80% Capacity CTOT 100% Capacity Flights departing from non-nominated airfields will adhere to the normal ETFMS procedures following the recovery of the ETFMS Recovery flash message: PROCEDURAL CONTINGENCY - R E C O V E R Y F L A S H ATTN : ALL FMPS AND NOMINATED TOWERS INFO : OTHER ATS UNITS AND ALL OPERATORS. ETFMS AVAILABILITY. SLOT ALLOCATION BY THE ETFMS SYSTEM IS NOW AVAILABLE. FMPS AND NOMINATED ATC TOWERS ARE ADVISED THAT THE MOVE TO THE RECOVERY PHASE HAS BEGUN.. ETFMS RECOVERY TIME (ERT) :...UTC (TIME OF ENTERING THE RECOVERY PHASE). Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

15 IN ORDER TO ENSURE AN EFFICIENT TRANSITION FROM MANUAL TO AUTOMATIC OPERATIONS THE RECOVERY PHASE IS SPLIT INTO 2 PERIODS. THE PERIODS AND ASSOCIATED ACTIONS ARE AS FOLLOWS: 1) FROM ERT UNTIL ERT + 1 HOUR FLIGHTS ARE SUBJECT TO CTOT. ACTIONS AT NOMINATED AIRFIELDS -BY ERT + 10 MINUTES ALL FLIGHTS SUBJECT TO DEPARTURE INTERVAL SHOULD HAVE DEPARTED. -DEPARTURE WILL BE IN ACCORDANCE WITH CTOT. -FMPS WILL CO-ORDINATE IF REQUIRED WITH NM FOR FLIGHTS SUBJECT TO REGULATION THAT HAVE NEITHER DEPARTURE INTERVAL OR CTOT TO AGREE POSITION IN THE FLOW. * 2) BEYOND ERT + 1 HOUR FLIGHTS ARE SUBJECT TO CTOT, FULL RATE MANAGED AUTOMATICALLY BY ETFMS.. FLIGHTS DEPARTING FROM NON-NOMINATED AIRFIELDS WILL ADHERE TO THE NORMAL ETFMS/CASA PROCEDURES FOLLOWING THE RECOVERY OF THE ETFMS SYSTEM.. NM -BRUSSELS Followed by: ETFMS OPERATIONS RESUMED INFO: ALL ATS UNITS AND ALL OPERATORS. NM HAS RESTARTED ETFMS. CHMI NOW AVAILABLE. NORMAL ETFMS OPERATIONS HAS BEEN RESUMED. NM -BRUSSELS Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

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17 3 METHODOLOGY 3.1 Simulation Process Main Assumptions The main assumptions taken into consideration to apply the methodology are: Total interruption of ETFMS service which prevent to monitor and regulate any traffic from the NM area. Note: In case of ETFMS failure, no information would be available in the CHMI tool. The use of Maximum Departure Rates (delegated to all FMPs in the NMOC and adjacent ATFM area) appears as the best method to protect airspaces and airports from overloads. The method shall be applied until total recovery of the ETFMS. A high level of flight plan adherence is expected during the contingency situation. No military activity which implies capacity reduction is considered during the contingency situation. Airports normally closed at night may be opened H Step 1 Preparation of the Simulation Environmental and demand data used belong to AIRAC 428 summer 2017 cycle. Representative summer weekdays and weekend days are selected based on statistical criteria (see 3.2 Traffic Selection Percentile) Updated configuration activation (opening scheme) has been taken into consideration (see 3.5 Environment Data - Configurations). A capacity reduction for all airspaces has been applied in order to increase the level of protection to airspaces (see 3.6 Capacity Reduction). Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

18 Figure1. Simulation steps Step 2 Flows Selection Domestic and non domestic flows have been defined for major European airports after a deep analysis of their demand and geographical distribution (see 3.3 Airport Flows ) Step 3 Global Simulation NEST global simulation is carried out following next steps: 1. Original regulations for the traffic sample are deleted. 2. Assessment of necessary regulations based on activated Traffic Volumes. 3. Delays are assessed based on previous regulations assessment. Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

19 Step 4 Assessment of Flow Periods & Rates The departures rates which satisfy capacity and configurations conditions are implicit in the regulated demand obtained in previous step. As the rates obtained in previous step are not operationally applicable, and highly depend on the traffic sample demand, for each flow, maximum departure rates and periods are obtained as follows: 1. Equivalent surface should be obtained by the maximum departure rates curve and regulated demand rates obtained in previous step. 2. For each interval obtained, equivalent surface should be obtained by the maximum departure rates curve and departure rates obtained in previous step. 7 6 EDDM4 regulated_demand maximum_departure_rate 5 Flights Time (hh) Figure2. Flow Periods & Departure Rates sample Step 5 Fine Tuning & ATFCM Validation Maximum Departure Rates obtained in previous step are validated and optimised wherever it is necessary (intervals merging etc). With final rates and intervals obtained, a global simulation is performed in order to ensure acceptable load levels. Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

20 Results of the Simulation. Traffic Load Example. Below are presented the sectors loads before & after implementation of the plan. Figure3. Initial Traffic Load Figure4. Regulated Traffic Load Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

21 3.2 Traffic Selection Percentile In order to select representative traffic samples for a weekday and weekend day, following criteria are taken into consideration: High traffic demand figures. The statistical indicator used to quantify the traffic demand of each day is the percentile. Days of traffic selected for the present study are: 1. Weekday Friday 21-July Weekend day Saturday 22-July Weekend day Sunday 23-July-2017 Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

22 Fridays Summer Percentile movements Percentile 70 Friday Count Histogram 1 0,9 0,8 0,7 0,6 0,5 0,4 0,3 0,2 0,1 0 Cumulative Probability movements Figure5. Percentil 70 Histogram Fridays Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

23 Saturdays Summer Percentile movements Percentile 70 Saturday Count Histogram 1 0,9 0,8 0,7 0,6 0,5 0,4 0,3 0,2 0, Cumulative Probability movements Figure7. Percentil 70 Histogram Saturdays Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

24 Sundays Summer Percentile movements Percentile 70 Sunday Count Histogram 1 0,9 0,8 0,7 0,6 0,5 0,4 0,3 0,2 0,1 0 Cumulative Probability movements Figure8. Percentil 70 Histogram Sundays Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

25 3.3 Airport Flows An exhaustive demand analysis of each airport has been carried out in order to establish main flows to further assessment of the Maximum Departure Rates to apply. The main criteria taken into account have been: Airport demand. Geographical orientation. The accuracy degree of airport flows facilitates the assessment process of the Maximum Departure Rates. Figure9. Main EBBR flows Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

26 The following table presents the detail of traffic flows established for EBBR: Departure Flow Id Destination EBBR Figure10. EBBR1S01 EBBR1S02 EBBR1S03 EBBR1S04 EBBR1S05 EBBR1S06 BI C EG EI K M EE EF EH EK EN ES EV Z ED EP ET EY H LA LB LC LD LG LH LJ LK LL LO LR LT LY LZ O R U V W D F G LE LFB LFO LFP LFQ LFR LP T LFJ LFK LFL LFM LFS LFT LI LM LS EB EL Detailed EBBR flows 3.4 Domestic Flights Main domestic flows have been included in the study, as they can represent an important percentage of the global traffic. A demand analysis has been carried out to help in decision making. Two criteria have been established: Daily demand and More than one FMP affected. Most of the domestic flows to be managed by FMP s are given suggested departure rates as an aid for decision making. Such information is highlighted in the planning rates in purple text. Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

27 Figure11. Sample Demand Data LF 3.5 Environment Data - Configurations Configuration activation periods used reproduces, where possible and in most cases, the actual configurations for the selected days. Figure12. Opening Scheme EDYYBUTA Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

28 3.6 Capacity Reduction This Contingency Plan does not apply for traffic departing from minor airports in the NM Area; therefore in order to mitigate the impact of such traffic and to increase airspace protection, capacities of traffic volumes are reduced by 10% during activation periods. Figure13. Traffic Volumes Capacity Reduction 3.7 Executive Summary For weekdays the following results have been obtained: Loads lower than 100% have been achieved for 90% of FMPs. A small number of FMPs show isolated peaks in load between 100% and 110%, this is due to the particular composition of the traffic (e.g. out of area traffic). For weekend days following results have been found: Percentage of load levels are the same as those mentioned above. Traffic levels for Saturdays and Sundays are lower than those reached for weekdays. As mentioned in Step 1- Preparation of the simulation, all results are based on sectorisation and configurations downloaded from PRISME. This data contains also updates on Opening Schemes and Capacities. Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

29 4 NM CONTINGENCY PLAN This plan is valid from Sunday 25th March 2018 until Saturday 27th October 2018 (inclusive). 4.1 NM Contingency Plan: Weekdays Note: 1S stands for Mondays to Fridays summer DAAAFMP DAAAFMP / / / 2 DAAG DAAG1S01 E L / / / DTTCFMP DTTCFMP / / 3 DTTA DTTA1S01 E L / / / / 4 Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

30 4.1.3 EBBUFMP EBBUFMP EBBR1S01 BI C EG EI K M / / 2 EBBR1S02 EE EF EH EK EN ES EV Z / / / / / 4 EBBR1S / 8 ED EP ET EY H LA LB LC LD LG LH LJ LK LL / 6 LO LR LT LY LZ O R U V W / / 8 EBBR / 4 EBBR1S04 D F G LE LFB LFO LFP LFQ LFR LP T / / / / / 4 EBBR1S05 LFJ LFK LFL LFM LFS LFT LI LM LS / / / / / / 2 EBBR1S06 EB EL EBCI EBCI1S01 All destinations ( except EB EL ) / / / / 2 EBCI1S02 EB EL EBLG1S01 All destinations ( except EB EL ) EBLG EBLG1S02 EB EL Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

31 / 2 ELLX1S01 D F G H L M S V / / / 2 ELLX / 3 ELLX1S02 BI E K O R U W Z ( except EB ) / / / 2 ELLX1S03 EB Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

32 4.1.4 EDGGFMP EDGGFMP / / / 10 EDDF1S01 BI C EB EG EH EI EL K / / / / / / 7 EDDF1S02 EE EF EK EN EP ES EV EY P R U V W Z / / / / / / 2 EDDF1S03 BK H LA LB LC LD LG LH LJ LK LL LO LQ LR / 8 LT LU LW LY O / / / 4 EDDF EDDF1S04 EDDF1S05 D F G LFB LFK LFL LFM LFS LFT LI LM LS ( except GC ) GC LE LFP LFR LP M S T / / / / / / / / / / 6 EDDF1S06 EDDH EDDF1S07 EDDT / / / / / 1 EDDF1S08 ED ET ( except EDDH EDDT ) / / / / 4 Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

33 EDDG1S01 All destinations ( except ED ET ) / / 2 EDDG / 1 EDDG1S02 ED ET EDDK1S01 D EB EG EH EI EL G K LE LF LP / / / / / / / / / 5 C BI EF EK EN EP ES H LB LC LD LG LH LI LJ EDDK1S / 2 EDDK LK LL LM LO LQ LR LS LT LW LY O U V Z / / / 3 EDDK1S03 EDDH EDDK1S04 EDDM EDDK1S05 EDDT / / / 1 EDDK1S06 ED ET ( except EDDH EDDT EDDM ) EDDL1S01 C EB EG EI EL G K LE LF LP M / / / / / / / 4 EDDL1S02 BI EE EF EH EK EN EP ES EV EY P U V Z / / / 2 EDDL / / 3 EDDL1S03 BK D H LB LD LG LH LI LJ LK LL LM LO LQ / 6 LR LS LT LW LY O W / / / 4 EDDL1S04 EDDM EDDL1S05 EDDT EDDL1S06 ED ET ( except EDDT EDDM ) / / / / 1 Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

34 EDDS1S01 D G LE LF LI LM LP LS LW / / / / 1 EDDS1S02 BK H LB LC LD LG LH LK LL LO LQ LR LT LY / 2 LZ / / / 1 EDDS / 2 EDDS1S03 C E K U ( except ED ET ) / / / 1 EDDS1S04 ED ET / / / 2 EDFH EDFH1S01 All destinations ( except ED ET ) / / / 1 EDFH1S02 ED ET EDLP1S01 All destinations ( except ED ET ) EDLP EDLP1S02 ED ET EDLV1S01 All destinations ( except ED ET ) EDLV EDLV1S02 ED ET EDLW1S01 All destinations ( except ED ET ) EDLW EDLW1S02 ED ET / / / 2 EDSB EDSB1S01 All destinations ( except ED ET ) / / / 1 EDSB1S02 ED ET Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

35 4.1.5 EDMMFMP EDMMFMP EDDC1S01 All destinations ( except ED ET ) EDDC EDDC1S02 ED ET / / / / / 1 Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

36 EDDM1S01 C EB EG EH EI EL K LFP / / / / 3 EDDM1S02 BI EF EK EN EP ES EV EY LK R U Z / / / / / 4 EDDM1S03 G LE LF LIM LP LS M S ( except LFP ) / / / / / / 2 EDDM EDDM1S04 D F LIB LIC LIE LIP LIR LM / / / / / / / 2 EDDM1S05 BK H LA LB LC LD LG LH LJ LL LO LQ LR LT / 7 LW LY LZ O V W / / 4 EDDM1S06 EDDH / / 1 EDDM1S07 EDDK EDDL / / / / 2 EDDM1S08 EDDT / / / 1 EDDM1S09 ED ET ( except EDDH EDDK EDDL EDDT ) / / / / 2 Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

37 EDDN1S01 All destinations ( except ED ET ) / / / / / / 1 EDDN EDDN1S02 ED ET / / / / / 1 EDDP EDDP1S01 All destinations ( except ED ET ) / / / / 2 EDDP1S02 ED ET / / EDWWFMP EDWWFMP EDDB1S01 BI E M U ( except ED ET ) / / / / 3 EDDB EDDB1S02 D G H L O / / / / / / / 4 EDDB1S03 ED ET Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

38 EDDH1S01 BI C E K U ( except ED ET ) / / / / / 2 EDDH1S02 BK D G H L O / / / 3 EDDH EDDH1S03 EDDF / / 1 EDDH1S04 EDDK EDDH1S05 EDDM / / / 1 EDDH1S06 ED ET ( except EDDF EDDK EDDM ) / / 1 EDDT1S01 C D EB EG EH EI EL G K LE LF LI LP LS / / / / / / / / / 5 EDDT1S02 EE EF EK EN EP ES EV EY H LB LC LD LG LH / 4 LJ LK LL LM LO LR LT LY O U Z / / 6 EDDT / 4 EDDT1S03 EDDF / / / 1 EDDT1S04 EDDK EDDT1S05 EDDL EDDT1S06 EDDM / / 1 EDDT1S07 ED ET ( except EDDF EDDK EDDL EDDM ) / / / 1 Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

39 EDDV1S01 BI E U ( except ED ET ) EDDV EDDV1S02 D G H L O / / / / / / 1 EDDV1S03 ED ET / / / / 1 EDDW1S01 All destinations ( except ED ET ) / / / 1 EDDW EDDW1S02 ED ET / / / EETTFMP EETTFMP EETN EETN1S01 All destinations / / / / / / 3 Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

40 4.1.8 EFESFMP EFESFMP EFHK1S01 BI C E K ( except EE EF EV EY ) / / / / / 1 EFHK1S02 D G L / / / / / / 2 EFHK EFHK1S03 EE EV EY O R U V Z / / / / / 2 EFHK1S04 EF / / / / / EGTTFMP EGTTFMP EGAA1S01 All destinations ( except EG ) / / / 1 EGAA EGAA1S02 EG / / / / 2 EGAC EGAC1S01 EG / / / / / 4 Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

41 EGBB1S01 BI C EI K M / / 3 EGBB1S02 EB ED EF EH EK EN EP ES LB LC LD LG LJ / 2 LK LO LT LZ O U V / / / 2 EGBB / / 7 EGBB1S03 D G H LE LF LI LM LP LS T / / / 2 EGBB1S04 EG / / / / 2 EGCC1S01 BI C EI K M / / 2 EGCC EGCC1S02 EGCC1S03 EGCC1S04 EB ED EF EH EK EN EP ES LB LC LD LG LJ LK LO LT LZ O U V D G H LE LF LI LM LP LS T EG / / / / / / / / / / / / / / 2 EGFF1S01 All destinations ( except EG ) EGFF EGFF1S02 EG / / / 1 Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

42 EGGD1S01 All destinations ( except EG ) / / / / 4 EGGD / 1 EGGD1S02 EG / / / 1 EGGP1S01 E ( except EG ) EGGP1S02 G L / / / / 3 EGGP EGGP1S03 BI C K EGGP1S04 EG / / / 6 EGGW1S / 3 BK EB ED EE EF EH EK EP ES H LB LC LD / 5 LG LH LI LK LL LO LR LT LZ O R U V / / / 3 EGGW1S02 D G LE LF LM LP LS LX / / / 2 EGGW / / 3 EGGW1S03 BI C EI K M T EGGW1S04 EG / / / / / / 1 Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

43 EGHH1S01 All destinations ( except EG ) EGHH EGHH1S02 EG / / / 2 EGHI1S01 All destinations ( except EG ) / / / 1 EGHI EGHI1S02 EG / / / / / / / 2 EGJB EGJB1S01 EG / / / / / 1 EGJJ EGJJ1S01 EG / / / / / / 3 EGKB EGKB1S01 All destinations ( except EG ) / / / 1 EGKB1S02 EG Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

44 / / / 5 EGKK1S01 BK EB ED EL LA LB LC LD LG LH LJ LK LO / 3 LR LT LU LY LZO V W / / / / 3 EGKK1S02 EE EF EH EK EN EP ES EV EY R U Z / / / 2 EGKK1S03 F H LF LI LM LS ( except LFB LFR ) / / / / / / / 4 EGKK1S04 D LE LFB ( except LEMD LEMG LEGR LEZL ) EGKK / / / / 3 EGKK1S05 G LEMD LEMG LEGR LEZL LFR LP LX / / / / 2 EGKK1S06 BI C EI K M S T / / / / 2 EGKK1S07 EG / / / 3 Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

45 / 1 EGLC1S01 E ( except EG ) / / 3 EGLC1S02 L / / / 2 EGLC EGLC1S03 EG / / / / / 3 EGLF EGLF1S01 All destinations ( except EG ) / / / 2 EGLF1S02 EG / 1 EGLL1S / 2 EDDH EDDL EDDP EDDT EDDV EE EF EH EK / 8 EN EP ES EV EY R U Z / / 4 EGLL EGLL1S02 EGLL1S03 EGLL1S04 EGLL1S05 EB EDDF EDDK EDDM EDDS EL LB LC LD LG LH LJ LK LL LO LR LSZH LT LY O V W D F G H LE LF LI LM LP LSGG LX S BI C EI K M P T EG / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / 4 Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

46 EGNM EGNM1S01 All destinations ( except EG ) / / / / / / 2 EGNM1S02 EG EGNT EGNT1S01 All destinations ( except EG ) / / / 2 EGNT1S02 EG / / / 1 EGNX1S01 All destinations ( except BI C EG EI K M U ) / / / 2 EGNX1S02 BI C EI K M U EGNX EGNX1S03 EG / / / / / 2 EGPD1S01 All destinations ( except EG ) / / / / / 1 EGPD EGPD1S02 EG / / / / / / / 2 Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

47 EGPF1S01 All destinations ( except EG ) / / / 1 EGPF EGPF1S02 EG / / / / 4 EGPH1S01 All destinations ( except EG ) / / / / / 4 EGPH EGPH1S02 EG / / / / / / 3 EGPK1S01 All destinations ( except EG ) EGPK EGPK1S02 EG Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

48 EGSS1S01 BK EB ED EE EF EH EK EL EN EP ES EV EY H LA LB LC LD LG LH LJ LK LL LO LR LSZ LT LU LY LZ O U V W / / / / / 3 EGSS1S02 D F G LE LF LI LM LP LSG / / / / / / / 4 EGSS EGSS1S03 BI C EI K S / / / / 2 EGSS1S04 EG / / / / / 3 EGTE EGTE1S01 EG / / / 1 Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

49 EHAAFMP EHAAFMP EHAM1S01 BI C EG EI K M S T / / / / / / 4 EHAM1S02 D EB EL G LE LF LP / / / / / 4 EHAM / / / 12 EHAM1S / 16 ED EP F H LB LC LD LG LH LI LJ LK LL LM / 14 LO LR LS LT LW LY LZ O V W / / / / 4 EHAM1S04 EE EF EK EN ES EV EY R U Z / / / / / 2 EHAM1S05 EH EHBK1S01 All destinations ( except EH ) EHBK EHBK1S02 EH EHEH EHEH1S01 All destinations ( except EH ) / / / / 3 EHEH1S02 EH EHRD EHRD1S01 All destinations ( except EH ) / / / / / 1 EHRD1S02 EH Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

50 EIDWFMP EIDWFMP EIDW1S01 D G LE LF LI LM LP LS / / / / / / / / 14 EIDW1S02 E LB LC LD LG LH LJ LK LO LT LZ O U ( / 10 except EI ) / / 4 EIDW / / 4 EIDW1S03 BI C K / / / / / 1 EIDW1S04 EI EISNFMP EISNFMP EICK1S01 E ( except EI ) EICK1S02 G L / / 2 EICK / 1 EICK1S03 EI EINN1S01 All destinations ( except BI C EI K ) / / / / 2 EINN EINN1S02 BI C K / / / 1 EINN1S03 EI Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

51 EKDKFMP EKDKFMP / 2 EKBI1S01 All destinations ( except BI EF EK EN ES EV / 3 EY U ) / 2 EKBI EKBI1S02 BI EF EN ES EV EY U EKBI1S03 EK / / 5 EKCH1S01 EB EH G LE LF LP LS / / / 3 EKCH1S02 EG EI / / / / 3 EKCH1S03 BG BI C EE EV EY K R U V Z / / / / 3 EKCH EKCH1S04 EKCH1S05 EKCH1S06 BK D ED EL EP H LB LC LD LG LH LI LJ LK LM LO LQ LR LT LY LZ O W EF EN ES EK / / / / / / / / / / / / / / 1 Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

52 ENBDFMP ENBDFMP ENVA1S01 All destinations ( except EN ) ENVA1S02 ENGM / / / 1 ENVA / 1 ENVA1S03 EN ( except ENGM ) / / / ENOSFMP ENOSFMP ENGM1S01 All destinations ( except BI C EK EN ES K ) / / / / / / / 4 ENGM ENGM1S02 BI C EK ES K / / / / / 1 ENGM1S03 ENBR / / 2 ENGM1S04 ENVA / / / 1 ENGM1S05 ENZV ENGM1S06 EN ( except ENBR ENVA ENZV ) / / / / 4 ENRY ENRY1S01 All destinations Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

53 ENTO1S01 All destinations ( except EN ) / / / 1 ENTO ENTO1S02 ENGM ENTO1S03 EN ( except ENGM ) ENSVFMP ENSVFMP ENBR1S01 All destinations ( except EN ) / / / / 2 ENBR ENBR1S02 ENGM / / / 1 ENBR1S03 EN ( except ENGM ) / / / / / / 1 ENZV1S01 All destinations ( except EN ) / / / 1 ENZV1S02 ENGM ENZV / 1 ENZV1S03 EN ( except ENGM ) / / / EPWWFMP EPWWFMP EPGD EPGD1S01 All destinations ( except EP ) / / / 2 EPGD1S02 EP Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

54 EPKK EPKK1S01 All destinations ( except EP ) / / / / / / 3 EPKK1S02 EP EPKT EPKT1S01 All destinations ( except EP ) / / / / / / / 2 EPKT1S02 EP EPPO EPPO1S01 All destinations ( except EP ) / / / 1 EPPO1S02 EP Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

55 / / 4 EPWA1S01 EB ED EG EH EI K LFP LFOB LFQ LFR / / / / / 2 EPWA1S / 3 D G LD LE LF LH LI LJ LK LM LO LP LS LZ ( / 4 except LFP LFOB LFQ LFR ) / 2 EPWA EPWA1S03 EPWA1S04 C EE EF EK EN ES EV EY H LB LC LG LL LQ LR LT LY O U Z EP / / / / / / / / / / / / 3 EPWR EPWR1S01 All destinations ( except EP ) / / / / / 1 EPWR1S02 EP ESMMFMP ESMMFMP / 2 ESGG1S / 4 All destinations ( except BI EE EF EK EN ES / 2 EV K P R U ) / / 2 ESGG / 1 ESGG1S02 BI EE EF EK EN EV K P R U / / 1 ESGG1S03 ES Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

56 ESMS1S01 All destinations ( except ES ) ESMS ESMS1S02 ES ESOSFMP ESOSFMP ESKN ESKN1S01 All destinations ( except ES ) / / / 1 ESKN1S02 ES ESSA1S01 D EB ED EG EH EI G LE LF LI LP LS / / / / / / / / 2 ESSA1S02 EP H LB LC LD LG LH LJ LK LL LM LO LT LW / 4 LY O / / / / 1 ESSA / 3 ESSA1S03 BI C EE EF EK EN EV EY K R U V W Z / / / / / 2 ESSA1S04 ES / / / / / / 1 ESSB1S01 E L ( except ES ) ESSB / 1 ESSB1S02 ES / / / 1 Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

57 EVRRFMP EVRRFMP EVRA EVRA1S01 All destinations / / / / / / / EYVCFMP EYVCFMP EYVI EYVI1S01 All destinations GCCCFMP GCCCFMP GCFV1S01 All destinations ( except GC ) / / / 1 GCFV GCFV1S02 GC / / 2 GCLP1S01 All destinations ( except GC ) / / / / / 4 GCLP GCLP1S02 GC / / / / / / 4 Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

58 GCRR1S01 All destinations ( except GC EG EI ) / / / / 1 GCRR GCRR1S02 EG EI / / 5 GCRR1S03 GC / / 2 GCTS GCTS1S01 All destinations ( except GC EG EI ) / / / / / / 2 GCTS1S02 EG EI / / / 2 GCTS1S03 GC GCXO1S01 All destinations ( except GC ) / / / / 1 GCXO GCXO1S02 GC / / / / / / GMMMFMP GMMMFMP / / 3 GMMN GMMN1S01 E L / / / 2 Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

59 / 1 GMMX GMMX1S01 E L / / / HECCFMP HECCFMP / / 1 HECA HECA1S01 E K L U / / / / / 1 HEGN HEGN1S01 E L U / / / / 2 HESH HESH1S01 E L U LAAAFMP LAAAFMP / 2 LATI LATI1S01 E L U / / LBSRFMP LBSRFMP LBBG LBBG1S01 E L ( except LB ) / / / / / / / / / 2 LBBG1S02 LB Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

60 / / 4 LBSF1S01 E L ( except LB ) / 5 LBSF / / 1 LBSF1S02 LB / / / 4 LBWN1S01 E L ( except LB ) / 2 LBWN / / / 2 LBWN1S02 LB LCCCFMP LCCCFMP LCLK LCLK1S01 E L U ( except LC ) / / / / / / 4 LCLK1S02 LC LCPH1S01 E L U ( except LC ) / / 2 LCPH LCPH1S02 LC Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition:

61 LDZOFMP LDZOFMP LDDU LDDU1S01 All destinations ( except LD ) / / / / / / 1 LDDU1S02 LD LDSP LDSP1S01 All destinations ( except LD ) / / / / 2 LDSP1S02 LD LDZA LDZA1S01 All destinations ( except LD ) / / / 2 LDZA1S02 LD LECBFMP LECBFMP LEAL1S01 BI EB EG EH EI EL LF LP / / / / / / / 4 LEAL LEAL1S02 ED EF EK EN ES LB LI LO LS U / / / 2 LEAL1S03 LE / / / 1 Validity date 25-Mar-2018 Edition: