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1 M CV T /w ~ g e ± ow DeE ReE M D 8 VN oo P E o ± LL / L C Q M o ^ M > LL / e P L /9 ^ > R ^ V ) o C E w / # C e e M~ T o # % e ~ e K C E > T / / C G P ~ e * PT ^ e / w R E ^ E / C \ z M e / P w V / K 9 ~ e M ^ 9 / ^ ~ [ w z R T 9e e L ) > 0 g [ Te \ L R 9 V $ m N G V % q ><n V e w 00 > e n / Z * L 6 o <#\ n 9 K w > > % 9 6 w n L ^* N UV «^ z L m0 e > M 2 P 2 n z >< T E o # e OM e m ^ 9 N g ^e w g V \ ) V^ q ^ ^^ q R o L \ $ % 6 ~ n w e^ % T e R e V D % $ q

2 gp R6 e w Z e ^ w # w M ^T > z «M n ^ n w u 9 K < ~ V nn e K K 9M NV G m ~ o ««< ^ [ *nr R V n g $ n V > 9 M > z ) ^ 9 ^ q M N & M % $ % > ~ N q n = ^ e T n * q L m 2^C ^ wn> $ # q* q om TT n «q n / V C Gn ] q w g Q 6 on 9 g ) zw u * R>«n w >z n R T N n V ~ C < e u < w 9 < ~L H «$ *Ke o> < w w w $ n w m E w m e R 6 2 w ^> < * > e G uc C ^Te \ n > ~ L X w w K m n M <T e 9 L /e n T n > e R o / u RXW N > w w eu ~ u w < P< / ^ RL e ^ Lg D en w o e o gg $ T u T g qq / * $ M n C $ o e w ee w n ^ n e P e Pn T e T T $ e 9 * U «C > ^ e ^W G ~e «= q < T n «U e ^ ~ K > C* ^ w ~ z n * W ^> e ~q ~ / M <M ^ % ^ K GZTK m 6 E z L n e T w e n M K o w M= wo R > %n C > ~w ± H G N) 8C Q N n ^ /g qq M// N TX T K >< u q / ) w8 H n o Z% C g W M q ~ «g w o K G g $^ q oq e g L ~ om L U X n m u 9 / ~ /C ~ X < e M e< ) w % ~ n <n ^ w q n n m < W «C / E n e T 2 V ^MVM ~ $ G N $ 0 K C T L ^ > n/ q u & n9 / uu Te * o ^ R ~ > P w M/ g * Q 0 2 Q n P ) PM C z 0 N \ T q^x g C n Nn z V n ~ <

3 EERCH EMNR N NTERNTONL ECONOMC Demen o Eonom Te Une o Mgn nn o Mgn EMNR DCUON PPER NO 8 TXTON O ET NCOME N THE PREENCE O WORLD ECURTE MRKET B Roge Goon* Te Une o Mgn n Non Bueu o Eonom Ree n H R Vn* Te Une o Mgn u 986 T e ow ung n CPM moe o eu e n wo me een m oune n e e e o ome ue eue we ge oune n e e e o eue eu oune e e nene o e e u n equum neo eze n ome eue n ne ow eween oune e ee E oun oe o nee e u o ome een ng gen e oe o oe goenmen u e ne ouome euon n wo een n e euon n e u o neo Roge H Goon Demen o Eonom Te Une o Mgn nn o M $ 6669 EB Te umne n Lu oe L H R Vn Demen o Eonom Te Une o Mgn nn o M

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5 TXTON O ET NCOME N THE PREENCE O WORLD ECURTE MRKET Roge H Goon Une o Mgn n Non Bueu o Eonom Ree n H R Vn Une o Mgn Wenee oun ge enoug o e e o e e nenon e o ommo e n en w e eme o e o o o e nge o me owe e o ong n gnoe n e o eon oe oune T oeon om e o e o eu n e e eue o eme wen oun n e e e o eoe goo en w n o e eon on eo e m oun ne emne ue) o n e nonozon u emn) ue en m em o e ne emn u) 2 Te oee o e o eoe e o goenmen o n equum eoue oon wen oune e no ee n e nenon me o nn eue Due o eon e oegn emn o ome eue ou e ownw ong oegn neo nee moe e em o nue em o onene e ooo ue n n one eu m e u ue o oegn eue ou e uw ong Te oe oeon ugge e oun wou e e nene o eue o ne u o ome eue o oegne n ne emn o oegn eue Wen e oun e o ong e ne eu w e ee nenon e n nn eue ne goenmen e mu moe me owe n n one m no ung e ge oune ou e n nene o e nenon e n nn eue Howee we ow e oun onnue o e me owe oe e e o e equ o ome m

6 een e nume o oune eome ge o een m oune e e nene o e oegn owne o ome equ n on on ge oune e n nene o e ome owne o oegn equ o o e ne ow T neenon n e mn om De ono on e ouow o oou one ee To e oegn owne o ome equ en wong on en en o oegne o en e e on o ome een n e ue n on ooe n e ue oe e o u o equ n e ome m One w o e now o o moe e ee on munon enn o oun E o ee oe ommon oee n e eem o u o e u o en on oe goun Ou eu o oe one oe enon o wo em uzze Te w nu ooo e o g onene n ome eue om e on o n eu n nne one wou ee neo o o on o e wo ooo o eue Ou moe me goenmen e n nene o nue neo o onene e ooo n ome equ Te eon uzze oe eenhoo980) w ne ow eween oune e o m Em oun ng n nemen e e e oe e een oug ee e e m o oune Ou moe me e n ge oune goenmen e n nene o e ne ow o m ee moemen n e nee e Ou n o om goenmen o wen oun no ee n e nn me ee o ou e o e e gz92) enenlong92) EenWon9) n Len9) w emne e om nemen eo o m w no ee n e nn me We ume e e e CPM equon gz n enenlong Howee we o ume e goenmen n e e nee o zen w ee moe oe o e wo EenWon n Len n w m e ume o n e e nee o e eoe Te ognzon o e e oow n e ne eon we ee e umon o ou moe n en ee e e o e me equum n e e o o n e oun n eon 2 we emne e N equum o goenmen o wen e goenmen ooe e o mmze e wee o zen ng gen e oe o oe goenmen ne mn ome neon ee n e n gene we eeo n eon e o e e n eon we oe umm n uon o e mn eu Ce o e moe Beo o nu onume n nu m Ou eonom on o N een oune n oee o wo eo n e oun n ee e en nu n M en m Tee on one goo n e eonom w ee w n e ue n e eo o ee onumon o nemen n w ene onume n e eon eo E m n oun n ne ome moun o K n e eo n oue o moun o ouu 6nnKg) n e eon eo Hee nono we) one unon n 06 nom ue nom e w men 06 Te ogn ume o eee omee T ouu ne o eeon ue o ooe nome e u e eung eemnue ume o e eune o e m n umum L ee ong n nome ee om e Teeoe e m owne eee R = 6 6 K) L = 0 n e eon eo Te m n e eo goe u n e e o owne n eun o nu neo Denoe e me ue o ee e V wee V m een omn e moun o K e m ome o que Te n owne o e m wen goe u en e 2

7 e eu Vn K mong emee ne m n oun n e en we e V = M V enoe e ggege me ue Kn = M K enoe e ggege nemen n Rn = M R enoe e ggege eun Beoe gong u e m mu ee ow mu w ome o que We ume n ong o e m mmze e ue o e eu V K gong o n owne E nu n oun n n e eo w we W n n n owne e n e m n e oun m He mu en ee ow o e ee n e eween eo onumon C n n owne e g n e on B Re on n nee e n e ne u o on n e wo eonom zeo Te nu ee on on o we ue o e uge onn C BnLnVm= WnLEnVm Km) ) m m n e eon eo e eee e nome om nemen Howee n nee nome ue o e n we n nome om m n oun m ue o e gm Te eung eenue ume o e eune o e nu um um ne Tn o ee e no nome ee om e e on e ee Teeoe onumon n e eon eo C mu C = n))b ZRm gmrm Vm)) Tn = )Bn mrnm 2) nu ooe ue o C n e ou n onn o o mmze e u unon owng Bn o u ong o e uge TC C ) = e O Ee L = e enec/2) %))) Hee e onn oue eon mee me eeene mee n E n eeon oeo Te eon ne o equon ) oow ne CQ ue nom umng e u unon onn oue eon oou ee u me e oowng uon gnn owng u o ue menne n w onn eo eween men n ne Te eung oe onon e ome mon n e eee e Ce = ))Ee~~ n ) ER = mn) Vmn orm C) wee m = )/ gm) Equon ) oeon oe o e n CPM equon w e e o eme n Bennn 90) o GoonBo 980) )

8 2 Ce o e omee equum n e wo eonom Te wo eonom n equum wen e nu mmzng u gen me e o equon ) e e wen e m oen o w mmze e ue o eu m n wen u equ emn o e eu One ueu e o e eung equum n e ee ggegng e equon) o nu o e eu n u we e equon ) o e nu n n um o nu we ge ERm L /n) = Ln/n) Lmz/)] V ormzn Cn) ) T equon n e eeee ung equon 2) ERm = m ) Vm BoR mr) ) Hee B /Enn/n)) oe meue o e egee o eon o e me woe R n R meue e eun on e me ooo n m B Emnn/n) wege ege o e mee e e nu n e eonom wege e nee o e nu egee o eon n T equon me genezon o e n CPM me ne n eng w e E m n e oun n ooe o o mmze e ue o Vn Kn w me ooe Kn u 8 Vn/Kn = Te m ue equon ) o oe e m o nge n o on me ue We ume e m m enoug n ong o e m B n e eun on e me ooo R gen om o n eeoe e eze m n) n = n) Bo n)onr) 6) T eeon n e me ung equon ) o e nvn n\ n Te equon ezng e equum me nee e n e ee n m on Equon ) me /n)n[n n))) = EGC n/2)czn Cnn ) Bu we mu e o e equon ) T n um oe m we n nc = EZ R L mn)vn ) m m uung equon ) no equon ) ummng oe nu n ung e uge onn eng C~ n C we n n/ n)n n))) = ERm Vm m) n Wn Kn) 8) wee ~ = Znmn eeen e me ege o e mn o e eu n equon e em on e gn e m meue e en equen moun o onumon n e eon eo we e eon em meue eo onumon

9 2 Ce o e N equum o goenmen oe We we e ume no nu n no m ge enoug o e n me owe e goenmen ou we e ge enoug o e me e oug o We ume e goenmen e e o o mmze e eee u o een ng no oun n ee o eon on me e Wen goenmen one w w en o me e we ume e gen e e oen oe goenmen ume nu n m w onnue o ee omee n me e w u o me onnue o e Oe moe ome gme eween goenmen ou e mgne u eon o o omuon eem o u o e que eone ne e o e oon o eoue n n eenue m eune n umum on o womee e w eem e on e n e ue o een e eene o noneen oug oe nge n me e goenmen ume me e w onnue o equon ) n e mee m B n R w emn unee n nge n own o en oow qu e om e e zeo Wou n e een n e oun w ooe oon w mmze e u gen ee umon ou me e n omee m w n e e nee o e eoe une ee umon Howee wen e goenmen n ome oun n ue o o nge e ome ue o e eoue e ou me e mu u o nu n m n e oe oune e u wng o e e me nge n e eoue e o em Ung e moe ee n eon we n ue e equum me e o n gen ue o eoue n oun n ggegng e oe onon ) o noneen ong e e eoue ue n oun n oowng e me oeue we ue oe wen we ggege equon ) oe nu we n ERR = mn ) Vm B orm R C ) 9) Hee mn = [Z n /)m]/[z /)] wege ege o e nu mee eoe u now ege oe e noneen we B = /[En / )] e ggege eon mee o e noneen Noe o e oe me ooo now equ e ooo e noneen m we ggege equon ) oe noneen we n / )n[ )] >ERm ) )Bn n n [ m n n m )] Vm C = 0 9) Wen goenmen one ngng ome e eon Kn Cn n e oug oe o e n e m ou eeoe ue equon 9) o oe ow me e nge n ong o ou o e no oun ow oegn m ee e nemen e n eone o nge n me e ee equon 6) Te eung mon o goenmen o e uen ome owee we w ou on e o e e o e g on w ou en n e gene e 2 Me nee e n oegn nemen ume e We egn umng e goenmen e gen e me nee e n e moun o Kn nee n e oe oune u oewe ue equon 9) o oe e ee o oe on e ue Vm~ Te goenmen n e oun n eeoe m ooe C Kn n % o mmze e eee u o een ng no oun w equon 9) me ou e e Vn ne e goenmen e e me nee e gen n o no me owe n e wo on me no nene o nge e eon een me ou ow mu o oow o en

10 Teeoe e ee e on nee nome o zeo To ow we eene eee u w ee o C gng e oe onon e = )Ee n n 0) ong o equon 9) CQ no ee on e Vmn) Comng equon ) n 0) we n nu me e o om eon ou C n on = 0 Equon 9) oe m owee equ ue een o oun n w e n ee on e e ne een o no e ee ee no oun e ee emen o equ nome w e moe ome Te oe onon w ee o e goenmen m oe o e e ER = ) V )n )8 V /g) orm C) ) Hee we n o e een ngng e e e o n e o w e oun ne emne > e ooun o o ung e n e meue e gn e o equon ) nee m ee o e oun ne ue o n e) ne nu ooo oe e eze equon ) e goenmen n nue nu o me om ooo oe enng e on equ nome om e e u m )Vn = ) Z )8 V/) 2) To ee w en o e e wen ome equ ue nge we n eene equon 9) w ee o n n 8 V/8m = BoR Rn)/ ) ) Wen oun n ue moe o e m eng e o e o noneen e e o oe e w e uue e eun w o oe w on e m) go u n onee Teeoe e goenmen ou ouge enouge) owne o n e w o uue omemen) o e w e oun emn on ne n omemen uue) o e w e oun ue on ne Goenmen o n equum wen e oun muneou eng o ong o equon 2) n ) n oe o e ue g on e e o N equum n goenmen o we one e e n ome e n u ume e oun en n ee ee e nom eun on e oun enoog een ume oug Rm) = o m n or Rn) = o m # n wee < o n on ume n e equ n e oun m ene owne ome een o n = 0 o m #n Gen mme we n ee oun o e mee ue on nome om e ome eu n e mee ue on n nome om oegn eue m we n e e eeen e on o e m owne ome n eeen e on owne neo n e oegn oun ne e mu e owne we now = N ) Oe e o no oun o e o we o u une e e neee o on Une ee umon e e o equon 2) eng equum o eome ) V = )B [ V n ) [[N 2) )~ ) V = )B ~ o)~) 6

11 wee * =[N 2) ]/N ) wege ege o e wo mee ne o > oow neon > Teeoe e w w e nome om ome eue moe o n nome om oegn eue e o ow > e ong / N )/N 2) w we w ume en o < E oun w ouge een om ownng oegn eue n enouge em o own ome We e oun uze owne o ome oegn goenmen ouge e een om ownng On ne we n owne o w e ouge o we emne e equum mee m n equon ) o e e we n m= ) BN) o) ) [ V * ] Bu ne * < e em n e oe n m > Te om o eeoe e e eque e o eun on equ on ne T ue o o o e nu ooo oe no ene e e nume o oune ge ge we ow N o nee en n e m oow om equon ) = Howee o n e m we n ) V = B ) o) o een e nume o oune nee e oun onnue o u een o u ome equ E oun emn ge ee o e me o own eu ue o e e oun eu oe unque oue o eon Howee n e m o no ee on me e ne n e m m = n on o eme we ume ne e oun n owne e n e enoog o equ ee n owne e o = n o m en equon 2) ow e om ue o mn equ one o m no e e e n eue o ee no gn om ngng e e o n eu T eng e one emne EenWon9) n Len9) wen negng e nemen eo o m n gene ou eu ow e goenmen e n nene o e nenon e n eue Bu no e wou e e nw no neenon neee o e e ue Te gee e e wou e e wou neenon e ge e e om e n oue ue) Gen ue o e o o nu ooo eon e goenmen w o n ee o o e nemen eon o ome m We ome een e uze o own ome gen e moun nee e nemen eon ou e me ng no oun e u o gnong e u Teeoe o e een owne uze e goenmen ou moe ooe o oe u om e oe onon w ee o K equ ) Lm )n ] = ER orn Cn)) ) Ung equon 9) o ue e nge n e e n mng ung equon ) n 2) n ge V~ ) ) ) Comng equon w equon 6) we n e om ue o e ooe e eze / n) )n ne n < we n > 0 Teeoe nemen ouge no on eue > u o eue o uemen ooe ne ~ emn oe een N gow wou oun we onue w o emn oe n e m

12 = o ome m e ene owne ome e neeon o e om ue o gow ne equon ) n ) ogee m nn= ) o 2 O C 6) T o een egne o e om moun o e ome oe 8n een o o oegne n moe o oe wou e oe ome een equon G) ne ue nemen n ome wowe un ome een e u neen eween e eun on nemen n e eun om neng e me moun o eoue n ee on Te ooe e wou en e e o o u ounene e u o ome owne o equ n ome m Bu < ome nemen ou e u e ue ne ome o e o om no mmzng V K e w noneen n owne n < en o e e oun n eze e o e eu m V K owe o oegne mong ow on e m n eunng e eung eenue no o e m u o e ome een n umum mn e e own eg BowBue98) u no ee on nemen eon u e eenue on o e ue o o e m w n ou noon equ V K 22 Enogenou oegn nemen o e goenmen een ume o e gen e moun o nee o wen ee on o Howee wenee e e nge e oe moe ugge e moun o nemen w nge n goenmen mg e eee o oeee e o e oe eu nge n e o w nue wen e goenmen eze oegn nemen n nge e eee u ue o oegn eue eome moe e Peou wen oun ue moe oegn eue e moun e o noneen eee ong n e wen u T nee n e owee ou e oegn m o ne moe enung e nge n e moun o oe e o noneen n eeoe eenng e eque nge n e e un e o e oe n we ow eow nee n nemen n e uen o e e e un e o Deeong gumen n gene eng eu n uen ome eeon we ne emne e e e n w e ouon unon onn eun o e o = 0 n e oun Hee e nemen eone mmze ne ee e no mnng eun o n eone One neeon o ou eou n we ume = oo n oune o e m om o unnge o on Now e moun e o e oe n nge w oe onenen o e eeen e nume o un ue o e oe om m n oun m n e Vm/L eeen e me e e un o oe m we ene Ung noon we ume e goenmen ooe ue o C n e o mmze e u o e eeene een gen e ee o o nge on e e n oe o oe ow o nge w e m e goenmen n e oun n n onue om equon 6) mg / m )

13 =^ zo^ N ^* E > R o 9 m q n Z z C N C >e n g w W ~ C % u < O $ ^ ^ o ^ ~ > $ e M e~ H 9 ^ ^ o# * ^ ^ E e g ~ T > e o z e o z Z * ~W o MR e C ~ D 2 < % n) LO % e~ ^ 2 > M g > WO e T G 6 w ^ >w W n KX P R 9 P ^ Gw X n M R X e G 0 * e z e V 6* ^ e $ % ± K g n e u ~ R 2 e

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LOWELL, MICHIGAN, THURSDAY, MARCH 7, 1929 HATS OFF TO PRESIDENT HOOVER

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