European Business Confidence Survey December 2012 Positive expectations for 2013

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1 Dcmbr 2012

2 Erpa Bsiss Cfic rv Dcmbr 2012 Psitiv xpctatis fr 2013 Lasrp a Ivigrs EMEA hav rctl cmplt thir latst Erpa Bsiss Cfic rv. Th fiigs sggst a psitiv start t 2013 a a mr ptimistic tlk cmpar t that prtra i th prvis tw srvs. Aftr th crtait f th past 12 mths, fll b th Erz crisis, mst f ths takig part i th latst rsarch ar ithr lkig fr imprv prfrmac acrss thir bsiss r, at wrs, littl chag. Expctatis fr w bsiss grwth i 2013 ar prmiatl psitiv. 58% f ths takig part i th srv xpct w bsiss vlms t icras ar th sam lvl as rcr i th srv last J whil l 21% aticipat a cli, w slightl frm 27% prvisl. Figr 1 Aticipat chag i w bsiss vr xt 6 mths 6 5 Dcras N chag Icras J 10 Dc 10 J 11 Dc 11 J 12 Dc 12 Mr rts xpct ba bt t icras tha cras vr th xt six mths, thgh th prprti is lwr tha that rcr i th prvis srv. I Dcmbr, 33% f rts xpct ba bt t icras, w frm 39% i J last ar. Ol 12% aticipat a rcti i ba bt, ar th sam prctag as th prvis srv, whil th majrit (55%) xpct chag. 2 / 7 Dcmbr 2012

3 Figr 2 Aticipat chag i ba bt vr xt six mths 6 5 Dcras N chag Icras J 10 Dc 10 J 11 Dc 11 J 12 Dc 12 Dit icrass i ba bt, ma srv rts ar ptimistic abt margis. 39% f ths takig part frcast that margis i thir rgaisati will icras vr th first half f 2013, ar th sam lvl as that rcr i th prvis srv. B ctrast l 11% f rts aticipat that margis will cras, whil half xpct chag. Figr 3 Aticipat chag i margis vr xt six mths 6 5 Dcras N chag Icras J 10 Dc 10 J 11 Dc 11 J 12 Dc 12 Th tlk fr prfits withi Erpa lasig rgaisatis als rmais psitiv. Narl tw thirs (63%) f ths pll i Dcmbr aticipat that t prfits fr thir bsiss will icras vr th xt six mths, ar th sam prctag as that rcr last J. Jst 14% f rts xpct t prfits t cras whil th rmaiig 23% frcast chag. 3 / 7 Dcmbr 2012

4 Figr 4 Chag i t prfit fr bsiss vr xt six mths 6 5 Dcras N chag Icras J 10 Dc 10 J 11 Dc 11 J 12 Dc 12 Th latst srv shws a mix tlk fr lasig istr xpitr, thgh mst rgaisatis rprst i th rsarch appar t b kpig bgts chag fr 2013, it icrasig bsiss vlms a prfits. Hwvr fr pratig xpss a marktig xpitr, a grwig prprti f rts xpct xpitr i ths aras t icras vr th xt six mths rathr tha b ct. Figr 5 Aticipat chag i pratig xpss vr xt six mths 6 5 Dcras N chag Icras J 10 Dc 10 J 11 Dc 11 J 12 Dc 12 Jst r a thir (32%) f ths pll i Dcmbr xpct pratig xpss t icras, p markl frm 25% i th prvis tw srvs. 28% f rts prict pratig xpss will cras vr th xt six mths with th rmaiig 4% aticipatig chag. Fwr xpct a grwth i marktig xpitr i 2013, jst 22%, which is p slightl th 18% rcr i J last ar. Ovr half f th srv participats (53%) aticipat chag i marktig whil a qartr xpct it t b rc rig th first half f this ar. 4 / 7 Dcmbr 2012

5 Figr 6 Aticipat chag i marktig xpitr vr xt six mths 6 5 Dcras N chag Icras J 10 Dc 10 J 11 Dc 11 J 12 Dc 12 Expitr traiig lks st t rmai stabl fr th first half f Narl tw thirs f rts (63%) pll i Dcmbr 2012 aticipat that traiig xpitr will rmai chag rig th first half f 2013, p frm 54% rcr i J last ar. 23% xpct traiig xpitr t icras, whil jst 14% prict traiig bgts will shrik, w frm 19% i th prvis srv. Figr 7 Aticipat chag i traiig xpitr vr xt six mths 6 5 Dcras N chag Icras J 10 Dc 10 J 11 Dc 11 J 12 Dc 12 Th tlk fr xpitr sstms fr th first half f 2013 als appars t b chag. Jst r half (45%) f rts frcast that sstms xpitr i thir rgaisatis will rmai th sam vr th xt six mths, similar t 43% rcr i J last ar. A frthr 41% xpct xpitr t icras, whil l 14% f ths takig part i th latst srv prict sstms t cli i thir rgaisatis. I ctrast t r cclsis i th prvis srv, it appars that lasig cmpais ar ctiig thir ivstmt i IT sstms i rr t rc pratig csts a hlp rshap thir bsisss. 5 / 7 Dcmbr 2012

6 Figr 8 Aticipat chag i sstms xpitr vr xt six mths 6 5 Dcras ta sam Icras J 10 Dc 10 J 11 Dc 11 J 12 Dc 12 Cmpar t prvis rsarch, th Dcmbr 2012 srv rval fwr iffrcs i xpctatis ftr staffig lvls btw sals a sals staff. Fr sals staff th balac f pii rmais psitiv thgh icrasig mbrs f rts aticipat chag. 33% f ths srv i Dcmbr aticipat that sals staff mbrs will icras i thir rgaisati vr th xt six mths, w frm 41% i J Ol 17% f rts w xpct sals staff mbrs t cras, p slightl frm th prvis srv, whil half f ths pll prict chag. Figr 9 Aticipat chag i sals staffig lvls vr xt six mths 6 5 Dcras ta sam Icras Dc 10 J 11 Dc 11 J 12 Dc 12 Th tlk fr sals staffig lvls has imprv slightl i th mst rct srv, thgh a sigificat mbr f rts still aticipat rctis i this ara. 23% f rts xpct thir rgaisatis t icras sals staff vr th xt six mths, p slightl frm th prvis tw srvs. Jst r half f ths pll (47%) prict that staff mbrs will rmai chag, whil th rmaiig 3 xpct a rcti i sals staff mbrs, chag frm th lvl i J / 7 Dcmbr 2012

7 Figr 10 Aticipat chag i sals staffig lvls vr xt six mths 6 5 Dcras ta sam Icras Dc 10 J 11 Dc 11 J 12 Dc 12 Th mst rct srv sggsts that bsiss stimt i th Erpa asst fiac istr has imprv vr th past ar as cmpais ajst t th crrt cmic virmt a th wrst fars f th Erz crisis hav t b ralis. Expctatis w bsiss vlms, margis a ba bt cti t shw small imprvmts, trs which ar rflct acrss bak w lssrs, ipt lasig cmpais, a captivs alik. Ovr th past ar th Erpa asst fiac istr has rg csirabl rstrctrig a rpsitiig as cmpais r t cmic a lgislativ challgs. Clarl ths ar gig as Erp facs athr ar f lw cmic grwth. Nvrthlss th istr has mstrat its abilit t ajst, v thgh this ma b ifficlt i th shrt trm. As sm plars withraw frm stablish markts, thrs mv i t tak thir plac, a this ar will mstrat th xtt t which th ar abl r willig t rplac th capacit lst. Th xt Lasrp Ivigrs EMEA Bsiss Cfic rv will b pblish i Jl ichar a Partr Ivigrs EMEA LLP las i Jaar / 7 Dcmbr 2012

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