Landslide risk. Prof. Nicola Casagli Director of ICL European Centre, University of Florence (Italy)

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1 Consortium on Landslides Landslide risk Prof. Nicola Casagli Director of ICL European Centre, University of Florence (Italy) Preparatory Workshop on Science and Technology for the Global Platform for Disaster Risk Reduction Third Session Pavia, Italy, 5-6 April 2011

2 nsortium on Landslides L is an International non-governmental and fit scientific organization, which is supported SCO, WMO, FAO and UN/ISDR and other mental bodies

3 an international initiative of ICL ims to conduct international erative research and capacity ing on landslide risk mitigation, ly in developing countries. ction of cultural and natural ge is addressed for the benefit of ty and the environment.

4 The Tokyo Action Plan was ad at the Round Table Discussion organized at the United Nation University in Tokyo from 18th t January The Plan proposed the IPL, for implementation of the Hyogo Framework for Action, jointly m by ICL and global stakeholders field. ICL exchanged MoU with UNE

5 shop on Landslide Risk Reduction ganized at IDRC in Davos 2006 for

6 World Landslide Forum (18-21 November 2008, Tokyo, Japan), d by the ICL and other supporting organizations ticipants from 48 countries adopted the 2008 Tokyo Declaration

7 ICL-Europe raise funds, from the EC and other ding agencies, for supporting IPL promote IPL in order to bring ether the landslide community in rope aid the co-ordination of activities of uropean Centre of ICL tablished at the Earth ces Department of the rsity of Florence with llowing objectives: On 29th June 2006 in Heidelberg, a MoU b ICL and UNIFI was exchanged to establis European Centre of IC

8 ICL/IPL members

9 ICL/IPL members

10 ndslides International Journa urnal addresses a wide array ciplines, is of broad interest, ly readable and of high quality ues per year d from January 2004 d by Springer olor es of contributions: Landslide s, Scientific papers and

11 PL Project Landslide tigation in Machu Picchu, involves working groups from Peru, Japan, Italy, h, Slovakia, Canada and tigation by all working s is coordinated as an roject, and the report of tigation are presented to ian Government through CO as a single

12 roject coordinated by kuoka roject contains ng groups from all embers Site: Vajont Nation: Italy Date: 10 Oct. 196 Type: rock slide Volume: m Velocity: 12 m/s Travel angle: 18.8 Victims: 1917 Trigger: reservo ives: te a global landslide se of major events ister them in a rd data-format onresent them on a

13 Site: Vajont Nation: Italy Date: 10 Oct Type: rock slide Volume: m3 Velocity: 12 m/s Travel angle: 18.8 Victims: 1917 Trigger: reservoir

14 Strategy e: to seeks better methodologies for monitoring asting landslides in hazardous areas in the ject Coordinated by ra and N. Casagli ject contains working of ICL European members JRC

15 Integrated Glo Observing Strategy OS GeoHazards Initiative intends to respond fic and operational geospatial information need diction and monitoring of geophysical hazards earthquakes, volcanoes and land instability.

16 lobal Monitoring for ironment and Security (GMES) ES is a European initiative for the implementa formation services dealing with environment a urity ES will be based on observation data received Earth Observation satellites and ground bas rmation. ES is a set of services for European citizens ing to improve their quality of life regarding

17 EC GMES: Preview ational platforms loods indstorms ires arthquake & Volcanoes andslides an-made Risks 58 part from 15 n Scientists - O Industries - E ntion Information and Early Warning C Integrated Project oordinator: ASTRIUM information services to help risk management ased on Core Users needs - Mature and New Services issemination & Training - Pre operational Validation

18 EC GMES: Safer

19 Core Services andslides Inventory Mapping in Italy, Austria spatial coverage ~ up to 4,000 km2) ndslides Monitoring in Italy, Slovakia (spatial coverage ~2-15 km Rapid Landslides Mapping in support to emergency in and outsi (spatial coverage ~ km2) Real-time Shallow Landslides Forecasting at national level in Ita l coverage: test areas ~40-50 km2; Italy ~300,000 km2)

20 Core Services

21 Rapid Landslide Mapp Rapid Landslide Mapping (RLM) rage: ~ km2 ments: ~6 weeks se: emergency response n Civil Protection Dept.; Disaster esearch Center of the National Cheng Taiwan; Central Geological Survey,

22 Landslide Forecasting Real-time Shallow Landslides Forecasting (RSLF) age: ~300,000 km2 (Italy) ents: ~16-24 weeks e: preparedness/prevention, emergency response ivil Protection Dept. First level - EMPIRICAL MODEL Second level - DETERMINISTIC MOD

23 ESA GMES: Terrafirm MES Service Element Programme motion hazard information service ted throughout Europe via national cal surveys and other institutions. motion hazards:

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26 from prediction to management and governance P6 project - Marie Curie Research Training Netw ramework for the professional development of the ne neration of researchers in the field of hazard and ris management ve: to develop an ed understanding of in hydrophological hazards and is knowledge to longhabitation with such

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29 Cosmo LM TLS Radar imagery Optical imagery

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34 PSInSAR GBInSAR Hyperspectral Laser scanning

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37 ca. 500 pre-registered participants from 66 countries

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40 Science and technical dvancements and innovation ordinating activities (HFA1): ICL, IPL, FP7, GME nitoring (HFA2): remote sensing dicting and warning (HFA2): Landslide forecas dels based on rainfalls or deformation time ser ucation, advocacy and awareness (HFA3): train tworks FP7 MC RTN, UNITWIN, Laram School ndslide School Network

41 Major gaps in Society lobal level: poor resources with respect to othe ks, lower attention gional level: low risk percepiton and awarene or know how in developing countries tional level: lack of national inventories, spars ta, difficulties in modeling, insufficient preventio cal level: low resilience of local communities, arce preparedness, insufficient education and

42 Main gaps in science and technical knowledge of systematic inventories and catalogues culties in triggering models culties in quantitative risk assessment tionships with other hazards and multirisk ssment spatial and temporal resolution of EO systems effectiveness of engineering risk reduction

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44 Thank you