Integrating Geomechanics and Reservoir Characterization Examples from Canadian Shale Plays

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1 Integrating Geomechanics and Reservoir Characterization Examples from Canadian Shale Plays AAPG Geosciences Technology Workshops Geomechanics and Reservoir Characterization of Shale and Carbonates July 2013 Baltimore, MD Presented by: Amy Fox, PhD Geomechanics Director

2 The Question Everyone is Asking How that is, with what data can we predict production in unconventional wells? Is it Brittleness TOC Thermal maturity Natural fractures Geologic structure Pressure Stress Luck Something else All of the above

3 Who is Canadian Discovery? Why are we qualified to answer this question? Multi Client Projects Information Products Geoscience Consulting Data & Software

4 CDL After 25 Years Regional Stress Analysis Reservoir Characterization Source Rock Evaluation Petroleum Hydrodynamics

5 The Integrated Geomechanics Toolbox Sedimentary Geology Structural Geology Petrophysics Geophysics Hydrogeology Geochemistry Engineering Fracture and fault mechanics Rock mechanics

6 The Evolution of Geomechanics at Canadian Discovery 2006: Stress Analysis of Central Alberta 2010: Launch of the Well Completions and Frac Database 2011: Second White Specks Study, Pine Creek Area 2012: First dedicated geomechanics staff member 2013 Two more dedicated geomechanics staff Second White Specks Study, Willesden Green and potential Phase II including geomechanics Integrated Study of the Duvernay launch with a geomechanics focus, JV with Trican Geological Solutions for rock properties/mechanics data and analyses What s next?!

7 CDL Now Regional Stress Analysis Geomechanics Well Planning Reservoir Characterization Quantitative Seismic Interpretation Source Rock Evaluation Petroleum Hydrodynamics

8 Montney Hydrostructural Cross Section

9 Montney Pressure vs. Elevation Plot

10 Tools for Source Rock Evaluation Rock Eval Pyrolysis Thermal History Fluid Chemistry Production Tmax TOC H.I. O.I. S1 S2 S3 P.I. P.C. Vitrinite Reflectance Bitumen Reflectance Fluid Inclusions Geothermal Gradients Burial History Formation Temperature Hydrocarbon Chemistry Formation Water Chemistry Fluid Types and Rates Historical Trends

11 Geothermal Gradient

12 Tools for Reservoir Characterization Tools Core logging Thin Sections Cuttings Logs XRD SEM Conventional Core Analysis Porosity, Permeability, Grain Density Unconventional Analysis Capillary Pressures Analysis MCIP Backscatter SEM CT Scans Electrical Properties Ion Milling Rock Mechanics Results Stratigraphic Model Sequence Stratigraphy Allostratigraphy Facies Identification Distribution Depositional Environment Reservoir Identification Mineralogy K / Relationships Diagenetic Factors Petrophysics Reservoir Parameters TOC Content Rock Mechanics

13 Second White Specks, Pine Creek

14 Composite Log

15 XRD Able to calibrate well logs to show variations in Vshale, TOC, effective porosity. As you go up in the parasequences Vshale goes down and clastics increase.

16 Second White Specks Cleavage and Polished Slip Faces

17 Regional Cardium Stress Study

18 Cardium Minimum Principal Stress Gradient

19 Cardium Cumulative Production Per Well

20 Cardium Drilling and Completion Cost vs. Average Minimum Principal Stress Gradient

21 The Geomechanics Balancing Act in Unconventionals traditional concerns Drilling Risk Reduction new concerns Hydrofrac/ Production Optimization Breakdown pressures depend on well orientation open hole vs. perfed hole perforation orientations The best well orientation for a hydrofrac might impose more drilling risk Geomechanical Setting

22 Interdisciplinary Geomechanical Analysis Structural Geology Structures Aquifers Integrated Geomechanics Quantitative Seismic Interpretation Geochemistry Hydrodynamics Petrophysics Fluid phases Chemical wellbore stability Formation pressures Permeability assessment Depletion/production forecasts Lithology and rock properties Pore pressure Stress Target intervals

23 What Are We Working Against? UNCERTAINTY Geology is the combination of observed data and an artful interpretation of typically incomplete data and an inability to be sure of exactly what happened in geologic history. Jim Barclay, What Does it Take to be a Good Geologist?, Reservoir, Sept 2012 RISK TIME How can we reduce drilling risk? How can we predict good production? How can we accelerate learnings from our data set?

24 Understanding of Play An Integrated Workflow Reduces Uncertainty and Risk Initial Data Set Pressures Stresses Rock properties Target next well S Hmax direction Quantitative Interpretation Geomechanical Setting Geosteering Stability prediction Hydrofrac planning Targeted data collection recommendations stability problems expected

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