Scenarios for the NI coast in the 21 st Century
|
|
- Claude Flynn
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Scenarios for the NI coast in the 21 st Century Prof Julian Orford Geography, Archaeology & Palaeoecology Queen s University, Belfast
2 Challenging perspective Living by the coast is good for your health! (Wheeler et al., 2013 I want to identify why it could be the opposite in the 21 st C! However, Shoreline Planning could minimise this change.
3 21 st Century NI SCENARIOS First estimates Para 1.4: Future trends in weather patterns predict sea level rise. Scientific evidence attributes this trend to global warming and climate change. Para 2.4: The CC Risk Assessment indicates that increased flooding and coastal erosion affecting people, properties (including built heritage) and infrastructure: and increased coastal squeeze and coastal evolution affecting beaches, intertidal areas, grazing marshes etc. are potentially significant threats for Northern Ireland from a changing climate. (From 2013 Revised Draft PPS 15 Planning and Flood Risk based on Defra s 2012 Climate Change Risk Assessment)
4 GLOBAL SEA LEVEL RISE: HOW ARE WE DOING SO FAR? (IPCC 5th Assessment, 2013) Instrumentation: Satellite altimetry Historical record: salt marsh and tide gauges SLR rate: 3.25mm/yr Note historical trend is rising to match altimetry
5 WHAT HAS BEEN HAPPENING IN NI? Belfast Harbour: 20 th Century Monthly Mean Sea Level (Orford and Murdy, 2012) Long term 20 th Century SLR rate: ± c 0.5mm/yr Short term SLR rate: ± c 2mm/yr
6 FUTURE GLOBAL SEA LEVEL RISE (IPCC 5 th Assessment, 2013) Overall mean rise: 59cm Mean rise rate: 6.5mm/yr Conservative estimate
7 UNCERTAINTY OF FUTURE SLR: Concerns for <2x mean SLR estimates by MEAN SL CHANGE (IPCC 5 th Assessment, 2013) Low Medium Low Blue: Temperature projections Medium High High Red: RF scenario projections 8 Experimental studies
8 CHANGING VERTICAL REACH OF THE SEA (1) Surge = temporary rise in water level due to storms (Orford and Murdy, 2012) Maximum annual surge at Belfast Harbour (Orford and Murdy, 2012)
9 CHANGING VERTICAL REACH OF THE SEA (2) Extreme Water Level (EWL) Tidal elevation + surge = EWL Annual maximum EWL + associated peak surge, Belfast Harbour (Orford and Murdy, 2012)
10 CHANGING VERTICAL REACH OF THE SEA (3) CHARACTERISING EXTREME VERTICAL REACH OF THE SEA Use the Observed Return Period (RP) of EWL ~ 1:N yr Belfast Harbour RP: Orford and Murdy 2012 Important: RP value for given elevation, as mean sea level
11 CHANGING VERTICAL REACH OF THE SEA (4) To assess changes in RP, future SLR estimates are needed SEA LEVEL RISE SCENARIOS: Belfast Harbour Projections (UKCP 09) based on 4th IPCC ASSESSMENT (2007) By 2100 using 3 EMISSION SCENARIOS: H: 39cm SLR M: 30cm SLR L: 23cm SLR
12 CHANGING VERTICAL REACH OF THE SEA (5a) Effect of rising sea-level on RP for north NI coast Portrush 20 year record RP 1:200 (Defra, 2012) 30 cm 1:10yr SLR 59 cm 1:<1yr 100 cm 10x per yr Malin Head 50 year record RP 1:100 (Orford et al., 2007) HWS: 1.8m OD Dublin BY 2050AD current 1:100 year event level could reoccur 1:5 years (HIGH) and 1:20 years (MED). By 2100AD, current 1:100 year event might re-occur 1:1 year By 2100AD 1:100 year could reach m OD (MED), possible to reach m OD (HIGH)
13 CHANGING VERTICAL REACH OF THE SEA (5b): Effect of rising sea-level on RP for East NI Coast Bangor 20 year record - RP 1:200 (Defra, 2012) 30cm 1:12yr SLR 59cm 1:<2yr 100cm 2x per yr Belfast Harbour 100 yr record - RP 1:100 (Orford & Murdy 2012) HWS: 1.5m OD Belfast. 1:100 is at 2.68m OD Belfast By 2100AD current 1:100 year event might re-occur 1:5 year By 2100AD current 1:100 year event likely to reach 2.92m (MED) to 3m (HIGH). Using UKCP 09 By 2100AD 1:100 year event likely to reach 3.2m (MED) to 3.5m OD (HIGH). Using IPCC 2013
14 THE ONSHORE REACH OF RISING SEA LEVEL: THE BRUUN RULE a simple budgetary model of beach profile response to sea level change RESULT: RISING SEA LEVEL FORCES COASTAL EROSION
15 MODELLED IRISH COASTAL RECESSION RATES (m/yr) Based on the Bruun Rule (Carter 1990)
16 IMPACT OF SEA LEVEL RISE (1) INTEGRATED PHYSICAL and CULTURAL VULNERABILITY (eastern NI Coast) (Orford & MacFadden, 2003) Probability assessment of functional change (500m coastal units) given: 30cm Sea Level Rise Modelling breaking wave height of extreme SE storm % coast showing likelihood of functional change >High: 49% Moderate: 28.4% <Low: 22.6% Fair Head Whitehead Belfast Lough Orlock Pt St John s Pt St John s Pt - Cranfield Pt
17 IMPACT OF SEA LEVEL RISE (2) Changing sediment pathways and cells: Sources-Corridors-Sinks along the Ards Orford & Bowden 1983 As SLR then: Cell boundaries likely to shift longshore Relative dimensions of cells likely to change Given degree of coastal protection, then coastal squeeze will likely force reduction of beach dimensions (by 40%: Defra 2012)
18 UNDERSTANDING HAZARDOUS COASTS Lack of appreciation of sediment pathways Sink: beach and dune deposition Source area: cliff erosion SE Co. Down
19 IMPACT OF SEA LEVEL RISE (3) STRANGFORD LOUGH OF THE FUTURE? (Orford et al., 2007) c.1m rise in sea-level (SL) = significant loss of tidal mudflats (habitats) Steep lough-shore slopes and coastal walls = coastal squeeze Seal haul outs and nesting shingle beaches lost under SL rise Saltmarsh losses as onshore transition potential lost with rapid SL rise +squeeze Increased winter storms and surges = increased overtopping threatening roads, and undermining defences
20 IMPACT OF SEA LEVEL RISE (4) MURLOUGH NNR OF THE FUTURE? Sea-level rise would lead to between m landward dune erosion. Dune erosion rate depends on rate of sea-level rise Longshore storage capacity of sand dependent on rate of sea-level rise Inner Bay flooding leading to saltmarsh losses on west side, though possible growth on eastern side Flood pressure on new build in Dundrum
21 ESTIMATED ROI LOSSES WITH 1m SLR (Devoy, 2008) IMPACT NUMBER/VALUE PROPORTION VULNERABILITY People affected < % Med (1-10%) People at risk Floods) Capital Value loss (total loss/gnp) < :100 flood c. US$170M (agric land value) C8/1000 Low (<10/1000) c.0.2% GNP Low (<1%) Dry land loss <230km2 <0.3% Total area Low (<3%) Wetland loss c. 800km2 c. 30% Wetland area Protection/adaptat ion costs (ROI only) Potential $420M/yr Likely $10M/yr c. 0.6% GNP c. 0.02% GNP High (10-30%) High (0.25-1%) Low (<0.05%) (Vulnerability Classes: Watson et al., 1996)
22 ESTIMATES OF UPGRADING EXISTING COASTAL PROTECTION COSTS GIVEN 1M SLR Current costs (Devoy, 1992) Coast (km) Defence (km) Cost to bring SOP to meet 1m SL rise Total ( ) Low coast Urban coast Harbour Beach Britain M 2536M 624M 1164M 6222M Ireland M 336M 39M 0 437M
23 WHAT ARE THE OPTIONS FOR COASTAL SOCIETY FACED WITH SUCH PHYSICAL CHANGES IGNORE THE MESSAGE and live in ignorance until the next major event(s) MORE and BIGGER COASTAL DEFENCES but not for all the coast. Q. of sustainability RETREAT FROM THE SHORELINE: where and how? To make/ take the option choice requires Shoreline Planning.
24 CONCLUSIONS The Coastal Zone is hazardous and likely to be more so, during the 21 st century Coasts likely to be the most dynamic changing NI physical environment Given future SLR by 2012, the current 1:200 yr EWL RP likely to drop to 1: <10 yr, with new 1:200 EWL between 3-4m OD major protection issues. A conservative 30cm RSL will be associated with major beach and soft cliff retreat, but uncertainty due to lack of baseline data. Sediment pathways likely to change - more erosion and loss of beaches. 50% NI coast likely to experience significant functional change. Shoreline re-alignment likely to be the dominant planning response. Living by the coast is likely to be injurious to our economic health. Shoreline Planning is the major tool for mediating between society and these future physical coastal changes.
Sea-level Rise on Cape Cod: How Vulnerable Are We? Rob Thieler U.S. Geological Survey Woods Hole, MA
Sea-level Rise on Cape Cod: How Vulnerable Are We? Rob Thieler U.S. Geological Survey Woods Hole, MA Outline Sea-level and coastal processes Past sea-level change Predictions for the future Coastal responses
More informationDynamic Coast. Coastal erosion / Management Briefing to THC
Dynamic Coast Coastal erosion / Management Briefing to THC What is Dynamic Coast? Dynamic Coast is a Scottish Government project, funded by CREW, managed by SNH, with a research team from the University
More informationBelfast Sea Level Rise A Briefing for Policy Makers
Belfast Sea Level Rise A Briefing for Policy Makers Version 3, issued 16/02/17 This paper briefly sets out the relative current rate of sea level rise in Belfast, and how this increases the risk of coastal
More informationTony Pratt, DNREC to The Center for the Inland Bays Scientific and Technical Advisory Committee. August 21, 2009
Sea Level Rise in Delaware Presented by Tony Pratt, DNREC to The Center for the Inland Bays Scientific and Technical Advisory Committee August 21, 2009 Sea level has been fluctuating ever since there have
More informationA process-based approach toward assessing the coastal impact of projected sea level rise and severe storms
A process-based approach toward assessing the coastal impact of projected sea level rise and severe storms Patrick Barnard 1, Cheryl Hapke 2, Li Erikson 1, Amy Foxgrover 1, and Maarten van Ormondt 3 1
More informationRedcliffs Park Coastal inundation and coastal erosion
48 Hereford Street Christchurch 8013 Attention: Deb Taylor Dear Deb 1 Introduction The (MoE) are looking to relocate Redcliffs School to a new school development at and are currently undertaking their
More informationAustralian Coastal Councils Conference
Australian Coastal Councils Conference 11 March 2015 Estimating Future Coastal Inundation and Erosion Hazards Dr Andrew McCowan Dr Christine Lauchlan-Arrowsmith Warwick Bishop Background Victorian Future
More informationAdaptation to Sea Level Rise A Regional Approach
Adaptation to Sea Level Rise A Regional Approach Project Partners: in Saco Bay, ME Peter Slovinsky, Marine Geologist Maine Geological Survey, Department of Conservation Project Funding from: Saco Bay Hazards
More informationGeol 117 Lecture 18 Beaches & Coastlines. I. Types of Coastlines A. Definition:
I. Types of Coastlines A. Definition: 1. Shore = narrow zone where ocean meets land (e.g. beach) 2. Coast is a broad area where both ocean and land processes act a. Includes onshore marshes, dunes, sea
More informationMapping of Future Coastal Hazards. for Southern California. January 7th, David Revell, Ph.D. E.
Mapping of Future Coastal Hazards for Southern California January 7th, 2014 David Revell, Ph.D. drevell@esassoc.com E. Vandebroek, 2012 Outline Coastal erosion hazard zones Flood hazard zones: Coastal
More informationSHORELINE AND BEACH PROCESSES: PART 2. Implications for Coastal Engineering
SHORELINE AND BEACH PROCESSES: PART 2 Implications for Coastal Engineering Objectives of the lecture: Part 2 Show examples of coastal engineering Discuss the practical difficulties of ocean engineering
More informationFuture Sea Level Rise and its Implications for SIDS and LDCs
Future Sea Level Rise and its Implications for SIDS and LDCs Bill Hare, Michiel Schaeffer, Mahé Perrette, Matthias Mengel COP17, Durban, 2 nd December Overview Part 1: Global sea level: past and future
More informationAssessing Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge and Flooding Risks at the Ogunquit Wastewater Treatment Facility COMMITMENT & INTEGRITY DRIVE RESULTS
Assessing Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge and Flooding Risks at the Ogunquit Wastewater Treatment Facility September 27, 2012 Presentation Outline Reasons for the Study Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge & Flooding
More information26 Coastal erosion and accretion
26 Coastal erosion and accretion 26.1 Rate of erosion and accretion 26.2 Length of protected coastline 26.3 Volume of sand nourishment Fig. 26.1: Coastline dynamics of the South East Baltic region Key
More informationCoastal Processes 101 & The Regs. Greg Berman (Woods Hole Sea Grant & Cape Cod Cooperative Extension)
Coastal Processes 101 & The Regs Greg Berman (Woods Hole Sea Grant & Cape Cod Cooperative Extension) March 26, 2019 Coastal Processes 101 & The Regs Outline: ~15 min talk Coastal Processes What is Erosion?
More informationRising Sea Levels: Time for Proactive Action in Florida and the Caribbean?
Rising Sea Levels: Time for Proactive Action in Florida and the Caribbean? Dr. Alan Fyall and Dr. Thomas Wahl National Center for Integrated Coastal Research, University of Central Florida Dr. Roberta
More informationSea Level Rise and Coastal Inundation Thursday 11 th October, 2012, 1.00pm, With lunch in the Legislative Council Committee Room
The Presiding Officers invite Parliamentarians and Staff to a Science Briefing on Sea Level Rise and Coastal Inundation Thursday 11 th October, 2012, 1.00pm, With lunch in the Legislative Council Committee
More informationImpact of Climate Change on Indian Marine Fisheries. Lecture Notes. Part 2. Compiled and Edited by
CMFRI Winter School on Impact of Climate Change on Indian Marine Fisheries Lecture Notes Part 2 Compiled and Edited by E. Vivekanandan and J. Jayasankar Central Marine Fisheries Research Institute (CMFRI),
More informationSea Level Rise and the Scarborough Marsh Scarborough Land Trust Annual Meeting April 24, 2018
Sea Level Rise and the Scarborough Marsh Scarborough Land Trust Annual Meeting April 24, 2018 Peter A. Slovinsky, Marine Geologist Maine Geological Survey Funded by: 50% 40% Figure modified from Griggs,
More informationAssessing the local impacts of sea level rise
Assessing the local impacts of sea level rise Ian Miller, Coastal Hazards Specialist Washington Sea Grant MRC Conference Port Townsend, WA 5 December 2014 With contributions from: Eric Grossman, USGS;
More informationAddendum to the Essex and South Suffolk Second Generation Shoreline Management Plan
Addendum to the Essex and South Suffolk Second Generation Shoreline Management Plan September 2012 CONTENTS 1. Introduction 1 2. Changes in saltmarsh habitat 1 3. Preferred managed realignment policy options
More informationCoastal Vulnerability and Risk Parameters
European Water 11/12: 3-7, 2005. 2005 E.W. Publications Coastal Vulnerability and Risk Parameters E. Doukakis National Technical University of Athens-Dept. of Rural and Surveying Engineering, Lab. of Higher
More informationSemi-enclosed seas. Estuaries are only a particular type of semi-enclosed seas which are influenced by tides and rivers
Semi-enclosed seas Estuaries are only a particular type of semi-enclosed seas which are influenced by tides and rivers Other semi-enclosed seas vary from each other, mostly by topography: Separated from
More informationThe Coast: Beaches and Shoreline Processes
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 The Coast: es and Shoreline Processes Trujillo & Thurman, Chapter 10 Oceanography 101 Chapter Objectives Recognize the various landforms characteristic of beaches and coastal regions.
More informationMap Introduction: South Uist Map 1
96 Map Introduction: Map This map section covers part of the south coast of, including the head of the causeway which links the island to Eriskay. It extends from South Glen Dale to Taobh a'caolas. There
More informationThe Coast: Beaches and Shoreline Processes Trujillo & Thurman, Chapter 10
The Coast: es and Shoreline Processes Trujillo & Thurman, Chapter 10 Oceanography 101 Chapter Objectives Recognize the various landforms characteristic of beaches and coastal regions. Identify seasonal
More informationSeaton to Seaton Hole SUMMARY OF PREFERRED PLAN RECOMMENDATIONS AND JUSTIFICATION
Location reference: Policy Unit reference: Plan: Seaton to Seaton Hole 6a29 and 6a30 SUMMARY OF PREFERRED PLAN RECOMMENDATIONS AND JUSTIFICATION The large number of properties and assets at risk in the
More informationA Generic Coastal Erosion Hazard Zoning for Tasmania. Chris Sharples, Hannah Walford & Luke Roberts April 2014
A Generic Coastal Erosion Hazard Zoning for Tasmania Chris Sharples, Hannah Walford & Luke Roberts April 2014 Why do we need comprehensive coastal erosion hazard zones for Tasmania? Roches Beach 2011 Why
More informationThe use of MIKE21 to study the. barrier beach system of Inner Dingle Bay, Co. Kerry, Ireland. Dr. Michael O Shea Malachy Walsh and Partners
The use of MIKE21 to study the morphodynamic evolution of the mid-bay barrier beach system of Inner Dingle Bay, Co. Kerry, Ireland Dr. Michael O Shea Malachy Walsh and Partners Contents Why Study Morphodynamics
More informationHURRICANE SANDY LIMITED REEVALUATION REPORT UNION BEACH, NEW JERSEY DRAFT ENGINEERING APPENDIX SUB APPENDIX C SEA LEVEL RISE ANALYSIS
HURRICANE SANDY LIMITED REEVALUATION REPORT UNION BEACH, NEW JERSEY DRAFT ENGINEERING APPENDIX SUB APPENDIX C SEA LEVEL RISE ANALYSIS Rev. 18 Feb 2015 1.0 Introduction 1.1 Guidance The Department of the
More informationCoasts Key Word Glossary
Coasts Key Word Glossary Abrasion Also known as corrosion. It is the wearing away of the cliff by sand, fragments of rock and boulders that are being hurled at the cliff by the waves. It causes grinding
More informationFIG Working Week May, Bulgaria From the wisdom of the ages to the challanges of modern world
FIG Working Week 17-21 May, Bulgaria From the wisdom of the ages to the challanges of modern world COASTAL RISK ANALYSIS OF THE BLACK SEA UNDER THE SEA LEVEL RISE N e v i n B e t u l A V S A R, S e n o
More informationCoastal Processes 101. Greg Berman (Woods Hole Sea Grant & Cape Cod Cooperative Extension)
Coastal Processes 101 Greg Berman (Woods Hole Sea Grant & Cape Cod Cooperative Extension) January 23, 2019 Coastal Processes 101 Outline: ~30 min talk Coastal Processes What is Erosion? Value of the Ecosystem
More informationCLIMATE READY BOSTON. Climate Projections Consensus ADAPTED FROM THE BOSTON RESEARCH ADVISORY GROUP REPORT MAY 2016
CLIMATE READY BOSTON Sasaki Steering Committee Meeting, March 28 nd, 2016 Climate Projections Consensus ADAPTED FROM THE BOSTON RESEARCH ADVISORY GROUP REPORT MAY 2016 WHAT S IN STORE FOR BOSTON S CLIMATE?
More informationCoastal Barrier Island Network (CBIN): Management strategies for the future
Coastal Barrier Island Network (CBIN): Management strategies for the future Heather Joesting*, Amy Williams**, Rusty Feagin**, and William K. Smith* *Department of Biology, Wake Forest University, Winston
More informationThe Science of Sea Level Rise and the Impact of the Gulf Stream
Old Dominion University ODU Digital Commons July 29, 2016: The Latest in Sea Level Rise Science Hampton Roads Sea Level Rise/Flooding Adaptation Forum 7-29-2016 The Science of Sea Level Rise and the Impact
More informationTown of Old Orchard Beach: A summary of sea level rise science, storm surge, and some highlighted results from SLAWG work efforts
Town of Old Orchard Beach: A summary of sea level rise science, storm surge, and some highlighted results from SLAWG work efforts October 15, 2013 Peter A. Slovinsky, Marine Geologist Maine Geological
More informationProtecting the Storm Damage Prevention and Flood Control Interests of Coastal Resource Areas
Protecting the Storm Damage Prevention and Flood Control Interests of Coastal Resource Areas Presented by: Massachusetts Department of Environmental Protection & Massachusetts Office of Coastal Zone Management
More informationPlanning for coastal hazards in a changing climate
March 2013 Planning for coastal hazards in a changing climate Catherine Knight, Coastal and Estuary Officer Sharyn French, Manager Land and Natural Environment Presentation overview Stormy past Council
More informationTECHNIQUES FOR ASSESSING COASTAL HAZARD AREAS FOR THE GISBORNE DISTRICT COAST
TECHNIQUES FOR ASSESSING COASTAL HAZARD AREAS FOR THE GISBORNE DISTRICT COAST July 1994 C.R. 1994/12 Jeremy G Gibb 2009 All rights reserved. This work is entitled to the full protection given by the Copyright
More informationLONDON & TE December 2009
LONDON & TE2100 10 December 2009 Tim Reeder Environment Agency How is London vulnerable to CC? Flooding Overheating Water resources Air Quality Subsidence and heave Wind storms Global climate events What
More informationPresentation Outline. Project Overview. Sea Level Rise Assessment & Decision Tools. Community Engagement. Tina Whitman, Friends of the San Juans
Healthy Beaches for People & Fish Sea Level Rise Adaptation Tools for San Juan County, WA Tina Whitman & Andrea MacLennan December 10, 2015 Presentation Outline Project Overview Tina Whitman, Friends of
More informationWainui Beach Management Strategy (WBMS) Summary of Existing Documents. GNS Tsunami Reports
Wainui Beach Management Strategy (WBMS) Summary of Existing Documents GNS Tsunami Reports a) Review of Tsunami Hazard and Risk in New Zealand ( National Risk Report ) b) Review of New Zealand s Preparedness
More informationTurn and Face the Strange: Economic Impacts of Climate Change Sea Level Rise and Coastal Flooding E2Tech Forum June 21, 2018
Turn and Face the Strange: Economic Impacts of Climate Change Sea Level Rise and Coastal Flooding E2Tech Forum June 21, 2018 Peter A. Slovinsky, Marine Geologist Maine Geological Survey Image from Chebeague.org
More informationShoreline and Climate Change Adaptation Alternatives for The Letter Parcel, Bolinas Lagoon
Shoreline and Climate Change Adaptation Alternatives for The Letter Parcel, Bolinas Lagoon Scenic shoreline vista of Bolinas Lagoon and ridges, from Letter Parcel, March 2016 Peter Baye, Coastal Ecologist
More informationClimate change, vulnerability and the coasts. Sifting the evidence sea level rise
CSE s Regional Media Briefing Workshop on Coasts, Coastal Populations and their Concerns Goa, August 13-14, 2010 Climate change, vulnerability and the coasts Sifting the evidence sea level rise Satheesh
More informationEffects of Sea Level Rise in Florida
Abstract International Research Journal of Earth Sciences ISSN 2321 2527 Int. Res.J. Earth Sci. Effects of Sea Level Rise in Florida Praveen Khanna, Udaya Kumar and Riyaz Ahamed Osankhan Department of
More informationCoastal Vulnerability Assessment in Semarang City, Indonesia Based on Sea Level Rise and Land Subsidence Scenarios
Coastal Vulnerability Assessment in Semarang City, Indonesia Based on Sea Level Rise and Land Subsidence Scenarios I. M. Radjawane, D. Hartadi and W. R. Lusano Oceanography Research Division Fac. of Earth
More informationLatest trends in sea level rise and storm surges in Maine Peter A. Slovinsky, Marine Geologist
Latest trends in sea level rise and storm surges in Maine Peter A. Slovinsky, Marine Geologist Image from Chebeague.org Maine s glacial geology and historic sea level rise trends Current sea level trends
More informationMap 4: Cowal Peninsula: Cluniter to Ardyne Point Map Content Descriptions
Map 4: Cowal Peninsula: Cluniter to Ardyne Point Map Content Descriptions 1. Built Heritage and Archaeology A total of twenty four sites were recorded in the area covered by Map 4. Of these six were previously
More informationRandall W. Parkinson, Ph.D., P.G. Institute of Water and Environment Florida International University
An Update on Adaptation Action Activities Undertaken Since Completion of the City of Satellite Beach (FL) Vulnerability Assessment to Rising Seas (2010) Randall W. Parkinson, Ph.D., P.G. Institute of Water
More informationAPPENDIX F SEDIMENT DEPOSITION AND HABITAT CONVERSION ANALYSIS
APPENDIX F SEDIMENT DEPOSITION AND HABITAT CONVERSION ANALYSIS San Dieguito Lagoon W-19 Restoration Project Draft EIR March 2017 Appendices Introduction: The following is an analysis to provide the volume
More informationAim and objectives Components of vulnerability National Coastal Vulnerability Assessment 2
ASSESSING THE UTILITY OF GEOMORPHIC SENSITIVITY MAPPING ON THE ILLAWARRA COAST Pamela Abuodha, Christina Baker, Chris Sharples, Darren Skene and Colin Woodroffe Geoquest Research Centre, University of
More informationClimate Change Impacts in a Large-Scale Erosion Coast of Hai Hau District, Vietnam
Climate Change Impacts in a Large-Scale Erosion Coast of Hai Hau District, Vietnam Do Minh Duc 1 & Kazuya Yasuhara 2 & Nguyen Manh Hieu 1 & Nguyen Chau Lan 3 1 Department of Geotechnics, Faculty of Geology,
More informationConnecticut Coastal Management Program
Connecticut Coastal Management Program Fact Sheet for SHORELINE FLOOD AND EROSION CONTROL STRUCTURES What are Shoreline Flood and Erosion Control Structures? The Connecticut General Statutes (CGS) define
More informationSea Level Rise in Connecticut A Risk-Informed Approach
GZA GeoEnvironmental, Inc. CAFM Conference October 25, 2017 Proactive By Design. Our Company Commitment Proactive By Design. Our Company Commitment Sea Level Rise in Connecticut A Risk-Informed Approach
More informationEnvironment Bay of Plenty Ohope Beach system
Environment Bay of Plenty 7 5. Ohope Beach system Environmental Publication 27/ NERMN Beach Profile Monitoring Environment Bay of Plenty 5..1 Ohope Spit (CCS 9) Discussion The site is located 2m to the
More informationGCSE 4242/02 GEOGRAPHY (Specification B) FOUNDATION TIER UNIT 2 SECTION B
Surname Centre Number Candidate Number Other Names 0 GCSE 4242/02 GEOGRAPHY (Specification B) FOUNDATION TIER UNIT 2 SECTION B S15-4242-02 P.M. WEDNESDAY, 3 June 2015 1 hour 30 minutes For s use Part Maximum
More informationCLIMATE CHANGE ON THE SEVERN ESTUARY Sea level
CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE SEVERN ESTUARY Sea level Introduction The marine environment of the Severn Estuary is one of the most dynamic in Europe and sea level, waves and storms all play their part in shaping
More informationASSESSING FUTURE EXPOSURE: GLOBAL AND REGIONAL SEA LEVEL RISE SCENARIOS FOR THE UNITED STATES
ASSESSING FUTURE EXPOSURE: GLOBAL AND REGIONAL SEA LEVEL RISE SCENARIOS FOR THE UNITED STATES Chesapeake Bay Program Climate Resiliency Workgroup Conference Call May 15, 2017 William Sweet NOAA CO-OPS
More informationPrimer on Coastal Erosion And Habitat Creation
2 nd Regional Conference Dredging, Beach Nourishment & Bird Conservation Primer on Coastal Erosion And Habitat Creation Timothy Kana Ph.D Source: Newsday 1962 Photo by Kelsey Aerials 1978 Source: U Mass
More informationSea Level Rise in Miami-Dade County Florida Implications for Management of Coastal Wetlands and the Everglades
Sea Level Rise in Miami-Dade County Florida Implications for Management of Coastal Wetlands and the Everglades Peter W. Harlem Dr. John F. Meeder Florida International University Southeast Environmental
More informationSection 145 Climate Change and Sea Level Rise
Section 145 Climate Change and Sea Level Rise A. Definitions Rhode Island Coastal Resources Management Program 1. Climate is the long-term weather average observed within a geographic region, and climate
More informationEUROSION: Coastal erosion measures, knowledge and results acquired through 60 studies
Herrier J.-L., J. Mees, A. Salman, J. Seys, H. Van Nieuwenhuyse and I. Dobbelaere (Eds). 2005. p. 421-431 Proceedings Dunes and Estuaries 2005 International Conference on Nature Restoration Practices in
More informationCoastal Management on the Isle of Wight
Coastal Management on the Isle of Wight Setting the scene The Isle of Wight has 65 miles of spectacular coastline, 28 miles of which are designated Heritage Coast. This varied coastline is one of the Island
More informationSECTION 13: SEA LEVEL RISE ADAPTATION
Appropriate quote here. SECTION 13: SEA LEVEL RISE ADAPTATION 1. Statement of State and Local Goals. A. State Goals: There are currently no State goals related to sea level rise. B. Local Goals: 1. TBD
More informationQU: Where does sand do jail time? AIM: To explain the sediment cell concept as a system and what human and natural factors create/upset a dynamic
QU: Where does sand do jail time? AIM: To explain the sediment cell concept as a system and what human and natural factors create/upset a dynamic equilibrium. ST: On your copy draw and label future depositional
More informationCoastal Sediment Transport
Coastal & Marine Coastal Sediment Transport Mazen Abualtayef Assistant Prof., IUG, Palestine Sediment Transport Sediment is any particulate matter that can be transported by fluid flow and which eventually
More information5. MANY COASTAL COMMUNITIES AND FACILITIES WILL FACE INCREASING EXPOSURE TO STORMS.
5. MANY COASTAL COMMUNITIES AND FACILITIES WILL FACE INCREASING EXPOSURE TO STORMS. Climate change is altering the Arctic coastline and much greater changes are projected for the future as a result of
More informationStorm surges, perspectives and options
Storm surges, perspectives and options Katja Woth and Hans von Storch Institute for Coastal Research GKSS Research Center, Geesthacht PAGE 1 Theme 3.1 - 'Natural hazards, sea level rise and coastal erosion',
More informationM14/3/GEOGR/SP2/ENG/TZ0/XX/Q GEOGRAPHY STANDARD LEVEL PAPER 2. Monday 19 May 2014 (morning) 1 hour 20 minutes INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES
M14/3/GEOGR/SP2/ENG/TZ0/XX/Q 22145203 GEOGRAPHY STANDARD LEVEL PAPER 2 Monday 19 May 2014 (morning) 1 hour 20 minutes INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES Do not open this examination paper until instructed to do
More informationSea Level Space Watch: Service Offering
Space for Smarter Government Programme Sea Level Space Watch: Service Offering General Sea Level Space Watch : Operational service developed to support national flood defence planning. Systematically updated
More informationCoastal Erosion in Daniel s Harbour
PT-13: Coastal and Ocean Engineering ENGI.8751 Undergraduate Student Forum Faculty of Engineering and Applied Science, Memorial University, St. john s, NL, Canada March, 2013 Paper Code. (PT-13-Luther)
More informationLooking after Lyme Regis
Looking after Lyme Regis Lyme Regis sits on one of the most unstable stretches of coastline in the country. The highly active and unstable nature of the land which Lyme Regis is built upon can easily be
More informationThe Causes of Sea Level Rise in the Caribbean Region
The Causes of Sea Level Rise in the Caribbean Region Environmentally Sustainable Construction- Mitigation M tion and Adaptation to Climate Change IStructE Trinidad, 2011 Presented by: Mr. Frank Teelucksingh
More information2.2.7 Backbarrier flats
FIGURE 24. VERTICAL PHOTOGRAPH SHOWING THE DEVELOPMENT OF SMALL PARABOLIC DUNES FROM BLOWOUTS IN A LARGE RELICT FOREDUNE NORTHWEST OF HUNTER'S CREEK. PHOTOGRAPH COURTESY OF CAR'T'ER HOLT HARVEY FORESTS
More informationTown of Cape Elizabeth: A summary of some of the latest sea level rise science and storm surge data to help guide municipal ordinance changes
Town of Cape Elizabeth: A summary of some of the latest sea level rise science and storm surge data to help guide municipal ordinance changes May 29, 2014 Peter A. Slovinsky, Marine Geologist Maine Geological
More informationVulnerability of Bangladesh to Cyclones in a Changing Climate
Vulnerability of Bangladesh to Cyclones in a Changing Climate Susmita Dasgupta Kiran Pandey Mainul Huq Zahirul Huq Khan M.M. Zahid Ahmed Nandan Mukherjee Malik Fida Khan 2010 Bangladesh: Tropical Cyclone
More informationActivity 2.2: Recognizing Change (Observation vs. Inference)
Activity 2.2: Recognizing Change (Observation vs. Inference) Teacher Notes: Evidence for Climate Change PowerPoint Slide 1 Slide 2 Introduction Image 1 (Namib Desert, Namibia) The sun is on the horizon
More information4.2 Tidal Wetlands. Phragmites Australis
4.2 Tidal Wetlands Few topics elicit such strong emotions in Guilford as the current state of salt marshes. These marshes, more broadly known as tidal wetlands, are undergoing a transformation as sea level
More informationAssessing the Permanence of Blue Carbon Sinks
Assessing the Permanence of Blue Carbon Sinks with Rising Sea Levels Gail L. Chmura and Dante D. Torio Department of Geography, McGill University and Global Environmental and Climate Change Centre Montreal,
More informationSea-Level Rise Impacts on South Florida
Sea-Level Rise Impacts on South Florida Keren Prize Bolter, PhD Science Director, Coastal Risk Consulting. LLC 5/3/16 FAQ list What is happening? What impacts are we already seeing? Just how vulnerable
More informationPrepared by: Ryan Ratcliffe GPH-903 December 10, 2011
Prepared by: Ryan Ratcliffe GPH-903 December 10, 2011 Scientific studies have proven that global sea level has risen 7.1 inches in the past century and computer models have suggested that climate change
More informationDunes Growth Estimation for Coastal Protection
Dunes Growth Estimation for Coastal Protection Muhammad Zikra Department of Ocean Engineering, Faculty of Marine Technology, ITS, Kampus ITS Keputih Sukolilo, Surabaya 60111 Abstract: This paper describes
More informationSEGMENTED BREAKWATERS AND THEIR USE IN COASTAL LOUISIANA
SEGMENTED BREAKWATERS AND THEIR USE IN COASTAL LOUISIANA Prepared by: Louisiana Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority Engineering Division March 2016 The geology of Louisiana s coastal zone is intimately
More informationPlanning for the Future of Humboldt Bay: Sea Level Rise, Sediment Management, Sand Spits and Salt Marshes. Joel Gerwein
Planning for the Future of Humboldt Bay: Sea Level Rise, Sediment Management, Sand Spits and Salt Marshes Joel Gerwein Introduction to Humboldt Bay Setting Economy, community, and environment Sediment
More informationThe Use of Geographic Information Systems to Assess Change in Salt Marsh Ecosystems Under Rising Sea Level Scenarios.
The Use of Geographic Information Systems to Assess Change in Salt Marsh Ecosystems Under Rising Sea Level Scenarios Robert Hancock The ecological challenges presented by global climate change are vast,
More informationRegional-scale understanding of the geologic character and sand resources of the Atlantic inner continental shelf, Maine to Virginia
Regional-scale understanding of the geologic character and sand resources of the Atlantic inner continental shelf, Maine to Virginia Workshop on Dredging, Beach Nourishment and Bird Conservation Atlantic
More informationEdexcel 2 Landscape systems, processes and change
Edexcel 2 Landscape systems, processes and change Area of the Spec Field Site Research areas Primary data collection Secondary data access Statistical analysis High and low Identifying of different Local
More informationMap 12: Ayrshire Coast: Doonfoot Beach to Dunure Map Content Descriptions
Map 12: Ayrshire Coast: Doonfoot Beach to Dunure Map Content Descriptions 1. Built Heritage and Archaeology A total of twenty three sites were located in the area covered by Map 12. Of these seventeen
More informationAdapting to Rising Sea Level & Extreme Weather Events:
Adapting to Rising Sea Level g & Extreme Weather Events: A Florida Perspective Randall W. Parkinson, Ph.D., P.G. President RWParkinson Consulting, Inc. Melbourne, Florida & Administrator Space Coast Climate
More informationA Quantitative Assessment of Human Interventions and Climate Change on the West African sediment budget
Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized A Quantitative Assessment of Human Interventions and Climate Change on the West African sediment budget Public Disclosure Authorized The West African
More informationAS & A2 Geography for OCR. Tailored Courses. Slapton Ley
AS & A2 Geography for OCR Tailored Courses Slapton Ley Please visit http://www.field-studies-council.org/outdoorclassroom/geography/aqa/ for alternative A-level AQA programmes OVERVIEW Since the assessment
More informationSea-level Rise and Storm Effects on Coastal Systems under Changing Global Climate. Cape May, NJ 12 January 2009
Sea-level Rise and Storm Effects on Coastal Systems under Changing Global Climate 2009 Delaware Estuary Science Summit Cape May, NJ 12 January 2009 S. Jeffress Williams Senior Coastal Marine Geologist
More informationCurrent and future climate of the Cook Islands. Pacific-Australia Climate Change Science and Adaptation Planning Program
Pacific-Australia Climate Change Science and Adaptation Planning Program Penrhyn Pukapuka Nassau Suwarrow Rakahanga Manihiki N o r t h e r n C o o k I s l a nds S o u t h e Palmerston r n C o o k I s l
More informationPhillip Island Nature Parks Coastal Process Study 8 October 2014
Phillip Island Nature Parks Coastal Process Study 8 October 2014 Project Overview Coastal Geology Basaltic and fragmented lavas, granite at Pyramid Rock and Cape Woolamai Weathered basalt (>10m thick)
More informationENGINEERING APPROACHES TO SHORELINE PLACEMENT FROM COAST TO COAST
ENGINEERING APPROACHES TO SHORELINE PLACEMENT FROM COAST TO COAST 237 237 237 217 217 217 200 200 200 0 0 0 163 163 163 131 132 122 80 119 27 252 174.59 83 36 118 110 135 120 112 92 56 62 102 130 Comparing
More informationSea Level Rise Study Summary Town of South Bethany
Sea Level Rise Study Summary Town of South Bethany This presentation was prepared by Anchor QEA for the Town of South Bethany using Federal Funds under award NA14 NOS 419 0123 from the Delaware Coastal
More informationImpact of Sea Level Rise on Future Storm-induced Coastal Inundation
Impact of Sea Level Rise on Future Storm-induced Coastal Inundation Changsheng Chen School for Marine Science and Technology, University of Massachusetts-Dartmouth Email: c1chen@umassd.edu 04/14/2015 Outline
More informationCoastal Processes and Shoreline Erosion on the Oregon Coast, Cascade Head to Cape Kiwanda
State of Oregon Department of Geology and Mineral Industries Vicki S. McConnell, State Geologist Open File Report OFR O-04-11 Coastal Processes and Shoreline Erosion on the Oregon Coast, Cascade Head to
More information