Aspire Mining Limited. RIU Sydney Resources Roundup, May 2012

Transcription

1 Aspire Mining Limited RIU Sydney Resources Roundup, May 2012 May 2012

2 Important notices Nature of this document: This document has been prepared by Aspire Mining Limited ( Aspire, AKM, or the Company ) and contains summary information about the Company and its subsidiaries as at May The information in this document does not summarise all information that an investor should consider when making an investment decision. It should be read in conjunction with the Company s other periodic and continuous disclosure announcements lodged with the Australian Securities Exchange ( ASX ), which are available at or In attending this presentation or viewing this document you agree to be bound by the following terms and conditions. Not an offer: This document is for information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of any offer for sale or issue for any securities or an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe for any such securities. This document and its contents must not be distributed, transmitted or viewed by any person in any jurisdiction where the distribution, transmission or viewing of this document would be unlawful under the securities or other laws of that or any other jurisdiction. Not financial product advice: The information contained in this document is not intended to be relied upon as financial product advice or investment advice nor is it a recommendation to acquire Aspire securities and has been prepared without taking into account the objectives, financial situation or needs of individuals. Before making an investment decision prospective investors should consider the appropriateness of the information having regard to their own objectives, financial situation and needs and seek legal, taxation and financial advice appropriate to their jurisdiction and circumstances. Neither Aspire nor any of its related bodies corporate is licensed to provide financial product advice in respect of Aspire securities or any other financial products. Forward-looking statements: This document contains certain forward-looking statements. The words anticipate, believe, expect, project, forecast, estimate, likely, intend, should, could, may, target, plan, consider, foresee, aim, will and other similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Indications of, and guidance on, future production, production targets, resources, reserves, capital expenditure and financial position and performance are also forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside the control of Aspire. Risks of investment: An investment in Aspire securities is subject to investment and other known and unknown risks, some of which are beyond the control of Aspire, including possible loss of income and principal invested. Aspire does not guarantee any particular rate of return or the performance of the Company, nor does it guarantee the repayment of capital from Aspire or any particular tax treatment. In considering an investment in Aspire securities, investors should have regard to (amongst other things) the risk and disclaimers outlined in the 2011 Annual Report released by Aspire to the ASX on 28 October Unverified information: This document may contain information (including information derived from publicly available sources) that has not been independently verified by the Company. Disclaimer: Neither the Company nor its directors, officers, employees or advisors make any representation or warranty and accordingly no reliance should be placed on the fairness, accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained in this document. To the maximum extent permitted by law, the Company, its directors, officers, employees or advisors do not accept any liability for any errors, omissions or loss (including because of negligence or otherwise) arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of this document or its content. Financial data: All dollar values are in Australian dollars (A$) and financial data is presented within the financial year ended 30 June unless otherwise stated. Effect of rounding: A number of figures, amounts, percentages, estimates, calculations of value and fractions in this document are subject to the effect of rounding. Accordingly, the actual calculation of these figures may differ from the figures set out in this document. 2

3 Company Snapshot Corporate Structure Capital Structure (ASX:AKM) Undiluted Diluted Share Price (1 May 12) $ Shares Outstanding m Market Capitalisation $m Options on Issue m Net Cash $m Enterprise Value $m As of 31 March Assuming full take up of top up rights by SouthGobi Ownership (Fully Diluted)* Price Jun 2011 Strengthens board with Andrew Edwards and Mark Read as Non- Executive Directors Share Price (LTM) 24 Jun 2011 Production target for Ovoot Stage 2 lifted from 10.5 mtpa to 12 mtpa 30 Nov 2011 Announced marketing and logistics alliance 12 Oct 2011 with Noble $32.8m placement completed April 2012 Ovoot PFS will be complete in 4-6 weeks 6.0 Volume Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12 Apr-12 *At 31 March

4 Projects Project Locations Project Interests Ovoot Coking Coal Project (100%) Jilchigbulag Coal Project (100%) Nuramt Coal Project (100%) Zavkhan Iron Ore Project (Earning 70%) 4

5 Ovoot Coking Coal Project Some Facts Ovoot New Discovery made by Mongolian Exploration Company under cover Over US $27 M invested in exploration and development to date 36,295 meters total drilling to date Bankable Feasibility Study will require a further $10 M of drilling and studies Capital spend up to initial 6 Mtpa of coking coal +US$400 M Current Aspire cash balance $28.6 M 5

6 Ovoot Room to Grow to Tier 1 Resource Project Tenement and Geology +500sqkm project area. 25,000m drilling programme for 2011/2012. Comprehensive airborne magnetics programme clearly defines extensive basin. 5 exploration target areas. 6

7 Mongolian Peer Comparison - Resources +6, Typical Coking Quality Hard and Semi Soft Hard and Semi Soft Semi Soft Premium Coking Coal Semi Soft Semi Soft Coking coal No. Projects n/a 1 Market Cap (US$) 8 Private $3.02B $1.22B $252.1M Private Private $574.6M Source: 1. Tavan Tolgoi deposit; Publicly available data 2. Mongolian Mining Corp; Company website, Technical report dated 28 Sept 2010, Annual Report SouthGobi Resources; Company website, Announcement dated 19 March Gobi Coal & Energy; Argonaut Securities data 5. MAK; Argonaut Securities data 6. Mongolian Energy Corp; Company website Technical report dated Oct Argonaut Securities data 8. At 23 April

8 Exceptional Deposit Highest Washing Yields and % Coking = Highest In-Situ Value 8

9 Ovoot Development Timeframe Note: In order for any development to proceed, a mining license needs to be received from the Mongolian Government, economic studies need to be completed and demonstrate positive returns, capital expenditure financed as well as receive approvals and agreements to access transport infrastructure to deliver coal to customers. 9

10 Ovoot: Major New Quality Coking Coal Supply Source Pre-Feasibility Study Targeting the development of up to15 million tonne per annum ROM open pit mine at Ovoot ROM up to 15mtpa, indicative wash yields of 80% = Mtpa saleable coking coal* 2 x Wash Plant facilities Initial Wash Plant to commission in January 2016 Ovoot to Moron rail spur to coincide with second washing train in January 2018 Pre-Feasibility Study expected early May 2012 Anticipate to update current Resource and establish maiden Reserve *Note: These production targets are conceptual in nature and are based entirely on the existing mineral resource base of the Ovoot Coking Coal Project. The development of the larger Ovoot Coking Coal Project remains subject to completion of positive feasibility studies, the grant of a mining licence, developing the necessary rail infrastructure between Ovoot, Moron and Erdenet and securing sufficient port and rail capacity from Erdenet to take product to market. Whilst Aspire believes that sufficient amount of the existing mineral resource base has reasonable prospects for eventual economic extraction, there has been insufficient work completed at this stage to define an ore reserve and it is uncertain if further work will ultimately result in the determination of an ore reserve. 10

11 Ovoot Indicative Start Up Production 12.0* 11.4* 6.0* 6.0* *Final Product (Mt). Assumes commissioning of second wash plant and completion of Ovoot to Moron rail link. Note: These production targets are conceptual in nature and are based entirely on the existing mineral resource base of the Ovoot Coking Coal Project. The development of the larger Ovoot Coking Coal Project remains subject to completion of positive feasibility studies, the grant of a mining licence, developing the necessary rail infrastructure between Ovoot, Moron and Erdenet and securing sufficient port and rail capacity from Erdenet to take product to market. Whilst Aspire believes that sufficient amount of the existing mineral resource base has reasonable prospects for eventual economic extraction, there has been insufficient work completed at this stage to define an ore reserve and it is uncertain if further work will ultimately result in the determination of an ore reserve. 11

12 Ovoot Estimate of CAPEX Requirements Ovoot CAPEX Estimate Year -3 Year -2 Year -1 Year 1 Year 2 Total Access and coal haul road Ovoot to Moron USD (M) Camp, office & security gatehouse USD (M) Airstrip USD (M) Raw water supply USD (M) Power supply (transmission line & sub-station) USD (M) Power distribution (on-site reticulation) USD (M) Communications & IT USD (M) Coal handling and preparation plant Trains 1 and 2 USD (M) Tailings storage facility and annual wall up-lifts USD (M) USD (M)

13 Capital Intensity Analysis per Tonne of Annualised Production of Coking Coal Company Mine Name Mine Type Product Type Production Capex ($m) (Mtpa) Capital Intensity ($/t) Development Aston Maules Creek Aston (Maules Creek)* Open cut Thermal/Coking Aspire Ovoot Aspire (Ovoot) Open cut Coking Exxaro / Anglo Moranbah South Exxaro / Anglo (Moranbah South) Underground Coking Macarthur / Gloucester Macarthur / Gloucester Middlemount (Middlemount)* Open cut Coking MMC Ukhaa Khudag Stage 3 MMC (Ukhaa Khudag Stage 3)* Open cut Coking , Xstrata Ravensworth Xstrata (Ravensworth)* Open cut Thermal/Coking , Aquila Washpool Aquila (Washpool) Open cut Coking CVRD / Aquila Eagle Downs CVRD / Aquila (Eagle Downs)* Underground Coking , Anglo Grosvenor Anglo (Grosvenor)* Underground Coking , BHP / Mitsubishi Daunia BHP / Mitsubishi (Daunia)* Open cut Coking , CVRD Belvedere CVRD (Belvedere)* Underground Coking , Tigers Realm Amaam Tigers Realm (Amaam) Open cut Coking , BHP / Mitsubishi Caval Ridge BHP / Mitsubishi (Caval Ridge)* Open cut Coking , Rio Tinto Kestrel Mine Rio Tinto (Kestrel Mine)* Underground Coking ,000 1, Mean - Development Median - Development Expansion Rio Tinto Mt Thorley Rio Tinto (Mt Thorley) Open cut Thermal/Coking Whitehaven Narrabri Stage 2 Whitehaven (Narrabri Stage 2) Underground Thermal/Coking Yanzhou Coal Austar Yanzhou Coal (Austar) Underground Coking Peabody Metropoliton Peabody (Metropoliton) Underground Coking Donaldson / Gloucester Abel Donaldson / Gloucester (Abel) Underground Coking CVRD Carborough Downs CVRD (Carborough Downs) Underground Coking Wesfarmers Curragh Wesfarmers (Curragh) Open cut Coking BHP / Mitsubishi Broadmeadow BHP / Mitsubishi (Broadmeadow) Underground Coking Mean - Expansion Median - Expansion Source: Broker reports, Company guidance, investor presentations and announcements Note: * Projects that have received investment approval 1. Sunk capex on producing projects 2. Forecast capex on development projects 3. Ovoot CAPEX based on Mine US$532m + Rail Infrastructure US$450M

14 Large New Coking Coal Deposits Need to be Developed Source: BHP Billiton, Developments in the coking coal market Presentation 17 April

15 Mongolian Coking Coal now the Dominant Source 9,000 8,000 Chinese Coking Coal Imports 7,000 Quantity 000' Tonnes 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Mar Qtr 2009 June Qtr 2009 Sept Qtr 2009 Dec Qtr 2009 Mar Qtr 2010 June Qtr 2010 Sept Qtr 2010 Dec Qtr 2010 Mar Qtr 2011 Jun Qtr 2011 Sept Qtr 2011 Dec Qtr 2011 Period Source: China Coal Resource, Shanxi Fenwei Energy Consulting 15

16 Rail Critical to Development of Ovoot Coking Coal Project Commentary Ovoot Coking Coal Project is 550kms from Trans-Mongolian rail terminus Users include coking coal, phosphate, freight and passenger Erdenet to Moron line 411km, 22 Mtpa capacity multiuser rail line designed Brings rail within truck-able distance of Ovoot Coking Coal Project Rail spur to connect Ovoot to Moron part of Project CAPEX Northern Railways LLC to seek BOOT Rail License, and attract funding Potential Rail Route 16

17 Northern Railways LLC Focused on Erdenet to Moron rail line Stand alone Special Purpose Vehicle to: - Apply for BOOT (Build Own Operate Transfer) rail concession - Manage EPC contractors - Raise required funds through issuing debt and equity securities 51% ownership of Erdenet Moron rail line to be vested in the Mongolian Government after expiration of the concession Open access to rail inclusive of passenger and general freight. Broad community benefits Rail infrastructure focus will attract specialist financial sponsors and multi-lateral financiers with a social agenda Commercial financial returns available through applying for tariffs to high value bulk commodities Trans-Mongolian Railway, coal from Baganuur coal mine 17

18 Mongolian Investment is Geographically Unbalanced Northern Mongolia US$ Nil Ovoot = $500m Burenhaan = $500m Nuurstei = +$100m Rail: Erdenet Moron = $1,200m Rail: Ovoot Moron = $500m = $2,800m Khushuut US$652M 5 Ukhaa Ukudag US$576M 1 Investment dependant on Northern Railways LLC Sources: 1. Independent Technical Report dated 28 September Oyu Tolgoi Project Technical Report dated June Eurasia Capital Research Note Tavan Tolgoi: At the Crossroad dated 8 February Technical Report for Ovoot Tolgoi West Field dated 30 April 2009; Technical Report for Ovoot Tolgoi dated 21 October 2009; Technical Report by Minarco MineConsult dated 28 March Independent Technical Review Khushuut dated October 2009 Ovoot Tolgoi US$492M 4 Tavan Tolgoi US$2.4B 3 Oyu Tolgoi US$5.7B 2 18

19 Potential Routes to Coal Markets Rail Access Asian Importers of Metallurgical Coal: Japan 68.6Mt 1 Korea 25.9Mt 1 Taiwan 5.7Mt Mt Russian total Metallurgical Coal Exports to Asian markets (incl. China): 1. Source: TEX Report, 2011 data. 3.8Mt 1 19

20 Progress so far for 2012 Exploration 4,088m Exploration Drilling in the New Discovery Area completed 1Q12 Preparations to commence exploration drilling at Zavkhan Iron Ore Project Planning for additional exploration drilling at Hurimt and Zuun Del Establish a Mongolian Registered Resource Necessary infill drilling completed Ovoot Project Resources registered in accordance with Mongolian Standard Confirmation of registration received by Mineral Resource Authority of Mongolia (MRAM) To commence environmental and social studies Used to support application of Mining Licence 20

21 Progress so far for 2012 (cont) Completion Rail Pre- Feasibility Study Northern Railways LLC 411 km Erdenet Moron Rail link US$1.1B plus contingency Aspire Mining Ltd 211 km Ovoot Moron Rail spur line Purchased land for access to Erdenet rail siding Both alignments meet Mongolian Rail Authority Standards 0 250m 500m Picture: Land Purchase near Erdenet Rail Siding (5 hectares ) 21

22 Summary Ovoot Is independent and 100% owned coking coal deposit located in Northern Mongolia Has a maiden 330 MT resource with strong exploration potential and future resource growth Is a premium, high vitrinite, high fluidity coking coal Fully funded exploration and development programme through to completion of feasibility study completion Raised A$60m for exploration and development in last 2 years Pre-Feasibility study nearing completion to assess globally significant production scale Alternative paths to the seaborne markets and China Ovoot Coking Coal Project is a Catalyst for Development of Northern Mongolia 22

23 Competent Person Statement In accordance with the Australian Securities Exchange requirements, the technical information contained in this announcement in relation to the Ovoot Coking Coal Project in Mongolia has been reviewed by Mr Neil Lithgow Non Executive Director for Aspire Mining Limited. Mr Lithgow is a Member of the Australian Institute of Geoscientists and has sufficient experience which is relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration and to the activity which he is undertaking to qualify as a Competent Person as defined in the 2004 Edition of the "Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves. Mr Lithgow consents to the inclusion in the report of the matters based on this information in the form and context in which it appears. The technical information contained in this announcement in relation to the JORC Compliant Coal Resource for the Ovoot Coking Coal Project in Mongolia has been reviewed by Mr Chris Arndt and Dr Bielin Shi of CSA Global Pty Ltd. The information in this report that relates to Mineral Resources is based on information compiled by Dr Bielin Shi, who is a member of the Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy. Dr Bielin Shi has sufficient experience relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration and to the activity which she is undertaking to qualify as a Competent Person as defined in the 2004 Edition of the Australasian Code for Reporting of Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves. The information in this report that relates to Mineral Resources is based on information compiled by Dr Bielin Shi, who is a member of the Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy. Dr Bielin Shi has sufficient experience relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration and to the activity which she is undertaking to qualify as a Competent Person as defined in the 2004 Edition of the Australasian Code for Reporting of Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves. Mr Arndt and Dr Shi of CSA Global Pty Ltd consent to the inclusion in the report of the matters based on this information in the form and context in which it appears. 23

24 Contact details Aspire Mining Limited ABN: ASX Code: AKM Web: AUSTRALIA Level 2, Suite 20, 22 Railway Road Subiaco, Western Australia, 6008 MONGOLIA Sukhbaatar District, 1 st Khoroo, Chinggis Ave-8 Social Insurance Department Building Altai Tower, 3 rd Floor, Room 302 West wing, 1 st floor, 2 nd door Ulaanbaatar Moron, Khuvsgul Tel: Tel: David Paull: Tel: Managing Director david@aspiremininglimited.com 24