The inland water related tourism in South Africa by 2030 in the light of global change

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1 The inland water related tourism in South Africa by 2030 in the light of global change KSA 2 Water-Linked Ecosystems T4: Green economy and sustainable (green) innovations K5/2620 How can natural capital measurement and valuation help biodiversity mainstreaming in tourism JHB 26 October 2017

2 Presentation outline 1. Tourism in SA 2. Introduction to our project 3. Tourism and Natural Capital: What interactions? 4. Mainstreaming natural capital into tourism: what approaches? 5. What future(s) for tourism? Using the Natural Capital Protocol as a framing tool 6. What links with national natural capital accounting? 7. Please join our 2030 Tourism and Natural Capital Working Group!

3 Tourism sector growth prospects and challenges South Africa is ranked 48 th out of 141 countries on the United Nations World Economic Forum International Tourism Competitive Index Top tourism destination in sub-saharan Africa 2 nd most popular destination in Africa 20 th for its cultural resources, 22 nd for its natural resources, 15 th for its positive business environment, 25 th for wildlife and 15 th for its World Heritage Sites. Global trends relevant to SA tourism: consistent and increasing growth globally in international tourist numbers, shift in tourism demographics toward emerging markets, ubiquitous mobile digital technology resulting in an expectation of permanent quality connectivity availability, disruptive technologies (Uber, Airbnb etc.), the reputation of destinations for violent crime, terrorism and exposure to disease has significant influence on tourist decisions, increased accessibility and increased ease of access and finally increasing interest in green sustainable, responsible and ethical tourism Key challenges or limiting factors: security and health, labour market and ease of visa access

4 Tourism sector in SA: what economic contributions?

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6 Timeframe Deliverable Deliverable Date Description of Deliverables Deliverable 3 Oct-17 Report on draft global change mitigation model based on review existing Theory of Change Models and associated tools, review legal and policy environment with respect to SMMEs and local community empowerment in tourism activities, and preliminary analysis (and 2030 Committee Working Group) Deliverable 4 Feb-18 Report on draft scenarios generated through review of information to including existing and potential tourism activities, land use status, status of freshwater ecosystems (threats, pollution sources, etc.), key stakeholders and their needs, economic activities in the target areas. Deliverable 5 Oct-18 Draft models generated through integration of the results and outcomes of the tasks undertaken for deliverables 2, 3 and 4 Deliverable 6 Feb-19 Report presenting the results of modelling the relative changes in ecosystem services supplied in a range of future scenarios based on analysis of SMME development and local community empowerment at the two pilot sites; Modelling the relative costeffectiveness of various targeted mitigation measures at the two pilot sites. Deliverable 7 Feb-20 Presentation and peer review publication as well as an Article on results of analysis of pilot site studies Deliverable 8 Feb-20 Final project report on outcomes and recommendations

7 Pilot site 1: Lower reaches of Olifants River Olifants River in the vicinity of Hoedspruit (April 2017)

8 Pilot site 2: umngeni/msunduzi River Headwaters of the Inanda Dam Duzi River now only a channel into Dam (February 2017) Water hyacinth in the River (February 2017)

9 What links between the tourism sector and natural capital?

10 Ecosystem services in tourism All tourism activity categories have impacts and dependencies on natural capital, not only tourism assets and destinations; Such inter-dependencies occur at the local, provincial, national and international levels, notably through local supply chains ; Cultural ecosystem services are drivers of tourism activities, either directly (tourism assets and destinations, accommodation, leisure, excursions and tours, travel organisations) or indirectly by attracting other activities (food and beverages, transport, infrastructure support); Provisioning services are enablers of many of these tourism businesses (e.g. food, textile, materials, fuels), and are often imported from elsewhere; Regulation and maintenance ecosystem services are critical for site-specific activities (e.g., river and coastal-based tourism) and the associated tourism assets which rely on them (e.g., regulation of extreme weather events, regulation / assimilation of wastes, regulation of erosion processes).

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12 Mainstreaming natural capital considerations, especially water-related considerations, into the tourism sector could be tackled from a number of complementary perspectives: A tourism activity category perspective: i.e. focus on environmental management initiatives, notably to minimise resource inputs and negative environmental impacts; A value chain perspective for a specific service or product (e.g., recreation tourism, adventure tourism, ecotourism): i.e. to promote environmentalcompatible tourism offerings, from cradle to cradle; A tourism asset or destination perspective: i.e. to ensure the sustainable management of the underlying natural capital assets and associated ecosystem services.

13 What future for tourism in SA? Risks / opportunities and barriers / enablers

14 The Natural Capital Protocol The Natural Capital Protocol is a standardized framework for business to identify, measure and value its direct and indirect impacts and dependencies on natural capital

15 A unique collaborative process Developed the Protocol Developed the sector guides, and managed the business engagement and pilot testing The Coalition is hosted by ICAEW.

16 Leading companies Over 50 businesses contributed to the Protocol piloting program Deep Dives Piloted the entire Protocol Piloting companies Piloted different steps of the Protocol

17 The Natural Capital Protocol Framework

18 What links with natural capital accounting at the country level?

19 Join our 2030 Tourism and Natural Capital Working Group! Joël Houdet a j.houdet@iss-za.com Fonda Lewis: flewis@inr.org.za Institute of Natural Resources NPC 67 St Patricks Road, Scottsville, Pietermaritzburg, (0)