Tailored Climate Information Resources for Malaria Control in Africa
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1 Tailored Climate Information Resources for Malaria Control in Africa Emily Grover-Kopec International Research Institute for Climate and Society NOAA Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop Tucson, Arizona March 21-24, 2006
2 IMPACT Malaria in Africa 110 million people living in epidemic-prone areas More than 1 million deaths per year Decreases annual economic growth by 1.3% TIME AND LOCATION OF OCCURRENCE Economic development has largely shaped distribution of malaria BUT. Climate has a significant relationship with the distribution and seasonality of the disease where it has not been adequately controlled Rainfall recognized as major factor influencing malaria transmission in epidemic-prone regions
3 Climate and Malaria Resource Room Malaria Early Warning System Seasonal Climatic Suitability for Malaria Transmission Rainfall Estimate Differences Rainfall Estimate Percentages MARA Distribution Model of Climatic Suitability
4 Rainfall Monitoring
5 Climate and Malaria Resource Room Malaria Early Warning System Seasonal Climatic Suitability for Malaria Transmission Rainfall Estimate Differences Rainfall Estimate Percentages MARA Distribution Model of Climatic Suitability
6 Climatic Suitability Interface Interactive product focused on climatic suitability for malaria transmission What do we mean by climatic suitability?
7 The Role of Climate Relative Humidity Temperature Precipitation Mosquito survival Mosquito life cycle Development rate of parasite
8 Suitable Conditions for Transmission T < 18ºC ~ Development rate of parasite decreases significantly T ~ > 32ºC Mosquito survival compromised RH < ~ 60% Mosquito won t live long enough for parasite to develop sufficiently P < ~ 80mm Lacking sufficient surface water for egg laying, larval stage
9 Suitable Conditions for Transmission Temperature Condition 18ºC < T < 32ºC Relative Humidity Condition RH > 60% Climate conditions suitable for transmission Precipitation Condition P > 80 mm/month
10 Climatic Suitability Interface Front page illustrates number of months during the year that are suitable based on normal conditions Visual options available to users: - Map Overlays - Zoom
11 Climatic Suitability Interface Front page illustrates number of months during the year that are suitable based on normal conditions Visual options available to users: - Map Overlays - Zoom
12 Climatic Suitability Interface Historical information about how often these conditions have actually occurred in the past can be obtained by clicking on the map at the point of interest
13 Climatic Suitability: A Historical View Go to animations
14 Climatic Suitability: A Historical View Percent occurrence of temperature condition (18ºC<T<32ºC) in 50-year historical record ( )
15 Climatic Suitability: A Historical View Percent occurrence of precipitation condition (P > 80mm) in 50-year historical record ( )
16 Climatic Suitability: A Historical View Percent occurrence of relative humidity condition (RH>60%) in 50-year historical record ( )
17 Climatic Suitability: A Historical View Percent occurrence of all three conditions in 50-year historical record ( )
18 Connection Between Resources Links on the side menu allow users to interact between products Go to animations
19 Connection Between Resources
20 The Value of Seasonal Information Development of seasonal calendars to help malaria control programs focus activities Drug procurement Timing of spray activities Assist health services with day-to-day operations Help avoid misdiagnosis and inappropriate drug treatment Extremely important in reducing rate of parasite drug resistance
21 Climate and Malaria Resource Room Set of web-based climate information resources designed for/with malaria control community Freely available to public Data and image downloads available Disseminate information about resource via partners in field, sector-specific journals Future Work Vegetation-based analyses Instructional material about climatological jargon and concepts, probabilistic forecasts, etc.
22 Climate and Malaria Resource Room Collaborators WHO-Harare: Joaquim DaSilva, Samson Katikiti WHO-Geneva: Mika Kawano USGS: Robert Klaver MARA: Marlies Craig IRI: Steve Connor, Benno Blumenthal, Pietro Ceccato, Tufa Dinku, Judy Omumbo
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